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Guosheng Financial Holding (SZSE:002670) Beneish M-Score : -1.70 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Guosheng Financial Holding Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.7 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guosheng Financial Holding's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:002670' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.71   Med: -2.45   Max: 9.06
Current: -1.7

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Guosheng Financial Holding was 9.06. The lowest was -3.71. And the median was -2.45.


Guosheng Financial Holding Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Guosheng Financial Holding's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Guosheng Financial Holding Beneish M-Score Chart

Guosheng Financial Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.84 -3.50 -2.76 -1.87 -1.90

Guosheng Financial Holding Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.00 -1.43 -2.58 -1.90 -1.70

Competitive Comparison of Guosheng Financial Holding's Beneish M-Score

For the Financial Conglomerates subindustry, Guosheng Financial Holding's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guosheng Financial Holding's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, Guosheng Financial Holding's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guosheng Financial Holding's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Guosheng Financial Holding Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Guosheng Financial Holding for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.7194+0.528 * 0.9978+0.404 * 1.0367+0.892 * 1.0607+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8577+4.679 * 0.012415-0.327 * 1.0964
=-1.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥2,397 Mil.
Revenue was 424.271 + 503.259 + 472.631 + 488.402 = ¥1,889 Mil.
Gross Profit was 299.068 + 394.725 + 368.802 + 366.29 = ¥1,429 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥29,802 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥37,675 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥454 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥320 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥24,477 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥709 Mil.
Net Income was 23.007 + -77.643 + -51.386 + 53.87 = ¥-52 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1107.201 + 1074.39 + -1203.251 + 716.177 = ¥-520 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥1,314 Mil.
Revenue was 409.262 + 417.404 + 495.677 + 458.204 = ¥1,781 Mil.
Gross Profit was 301.201 + 315.681 + 379.837 + 347.449 = ¥1,344 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥25,498 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥32,068 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥479 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥352 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥19,491 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥62 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2396.983 / 1888.563) / (1314.373 / 1780.547)
=1.26921 / 0.738185
=1.7194

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1344.168 / 1780.547) / (1428.885 / 1888.563)
=0.754919 / 0.756599
=0.9978

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (29801.58 + 454.335) / 37675.111) / (1 - (25498.036 + 478.636) / 32068.053)
=0.196926 / 0.189952
=1.0367

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1888.563 / 1780.547
=1.0607

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 478.636)) / (0 / (0 + 454.335))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(320.381 / 1888.563) / (352.157 / 1780.547)
=0.169643 / 0.19778
=0.8577

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((708.78 + 24477.196) / 37675.111) / ((61.925 + 19490.585) / 32068.053)
=0.668504 / 0.609719
=1.0964

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-52.152 - 0 - -519.885) / 37675.111
=0.012415

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Guosheng Financial Holding has a M-score of -1.70 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Guosheng Financial Holding Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Guosheng Financial Holding (SZSE:002670) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 5033 Yitian Road, 101F , Ping An Financial Center, Futian District, Guangdong Province, Shenzhen, CHN, 518000
Guosheng Financial Holding Inc is a China based integrated financial service group. It provides financial products and services including securities, investment, finance and technology. The company focuses on building brokerage and securities research, institutional securities, credit, investment management and internet finance, leading to provide customers with a chain of financial services.

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