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Confluent (STU:8QR) Beneish M-Score : -3.07 (As of May. 13, 2024)


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What is Confluent Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.07 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Confluent's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:8QR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.43   Med: -2.88   Max: -2.49
Current: -3.07

During the past 5 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Confluent was -2.49. The lowest was -3.43. And the median was -2.88.


Confluent Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Confluent's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Confluent Beneish M-Score Chart

Confluent Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - -3.00 -2.69 -2.75

Confluent Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.49 -2.64 -2.70 -2.75 -3.07

Competitive Comparison of Confluent's Beneish M-Score

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Confluent's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Confluent's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Confluent's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Confluent's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Confluent Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Confluent for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9298+0.528 * 0.9232+0.404 * 1.034+0.892 * 1.2478+0.115 * 0.9528
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8193+4.679 * -0.167792-0.327 * 0.9597
=-3.10

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €183.9 Mil.
Revenue was 199.858 + 195.49 + 187.57 + 174.71 = €757.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was 143.535 + 143.168 + 134.583 + 121.25 = €542.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €2,048.0 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,244.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €65.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €14.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €599.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €404.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,014.3 Mil.
Net Income was -85.53 + -86.286 + -86.832 + -95.461 = €-354.1 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 19.182 + 19.968 + 15.929 + 15.384 = €70.5 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -23.878 + 11.219 + -8.489 + -26.822 = €-48.0 Mil.
Total Receivables was €158.5 Mil.
Revenue was 162.798 + 159.221 + 153.249 + 131.879 = €607.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was 108.492 + 108.293 + 99.538 + 85.044 = €401.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,975.5 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,141.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €44.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €9.1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €586.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €374.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,035.5 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(183.855 / 757.628) / (158.453 / 607.147)
=0.242672 / 0.26098
=0.9298

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(401.367 / 607.147) / (542.536 / 757.628)
=0.661071 / 0.716098
=0.9232

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2048.028 + 65.139) / 2244.459) / (1 - (1975.456 + 44.899) / 2141.499)
=0.058496 / 0.05657
=1.034

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=757.628 / 607.147
=1.2478

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(9.07 / (9.07 + 44.899)) / (13.95 / (13.95 + 65.139))
=0.168059 / 0.176384
=0.9528

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(599.164 / 757.628) / (586.059 / 607.147)
=0.790842 / 0.965267
=0.8193

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1014.346 + 404.062) / 2244.459) / ((1035.496 + 374.685) / 2141.499)
=0.63196 / 0.658502
=0.9597

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-354.109 - 70.463 - -47.97) / 2244.459
=-0.167792

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Confluent has a M-score of -3.10 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Confluent Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Confluent (STU:8QR) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
899 West Evelyn Avenue, Mountain View, CA, USA, 94041
Confluent Inc is a new category of data infrastructure designed to connect all the applications, systems, and data layers of a company around a real-time central nervous system. Its products include Confluent Platform; Connectors; ksqlDB and others. The company generates revenue from the sale of subscriptions and services. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States. It provides solutions to Financial Services; Insurance; Retail and eCommerce; Automotive; Government and other sectors.

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