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Loncin Motor Co (SHSE:603766) Beneish M-Score : -3.13 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Loncin Motor Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.13 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Loncin Motor Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:603766' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.59   Med: -2.41   Max: -1.72
Current: -3.13

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Loncin Motor Co was -1.72. The lowest was -3.59. And the median was -2.41.


Loncin Motor Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Loncin Motor Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Loncin Motor Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Loncin Motor Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.01 -2.49 -3.27 -3.00 -3.43

Loncin Motor Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.20 -3.59 -3.51 -3.43 -3.13

Competitive Comparison of Loncin Motor Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Loncin Motor Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Loncin Motor Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Loncin Motor Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Loncin Motor Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Loncin Motor Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Loncin Motor Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7809+0.528 * 0.9618+0.404 * 0.8247+0.892 * 1.1702+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2847+4.679 * -0.092718-0.327 * 1.0857
=-3.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥1,978 Mil.
Revenue was 3295.771 + 3702.455 + 3385.863 + 3241.144 = ¥13,625 Mil.
Gross Profit was 583.679 + 693.641 + 628.665 + 599.678 = ¥2,506 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥9,713 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥13,962 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥2,630 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥377 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥4,990 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥30 Mil.
Net Income was 257.572 + -207.309 + 289.058 + 316.705 = ¥656 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -50.541 + 528.702 + 402.015 + 1070.373 = ¥1,951 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥2,165 Mil.
Revenue was 2737.019 + 2907.397 + 2901.63 + 3097.856 = ¥11,644 Mil.
Gross Profit was 500.233 + 415.011 + 571.984 + 572.265 = ¥2,059 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥7,975 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥12,832 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥3,053 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥251 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥3,930 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥320 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1978.268 / 13625.233) / (2165.028 / 11643.902)
=0.145191 / 0.185937
=0.7809

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2059.493 / 11643.902) / (2505.663 / 13625.233)
=0.176873 / 0.183899
=0.9618

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9712.94 + 2629.584) / 13961.919) / (1 - (7974.731 + 3052.623) / 12831.946)
=0.115987 / 0.140633
=0.8247

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=13625.233 / 11643.902
=1.1702

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 3052.623)) / (0 / (0 + 2629.584))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(377.238 / 13625.233) / (250.933 / 11643.902)
=0.027687 / 0.021551
=1.2847

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((30.165 + 4990.41) / 13961.919) / ((320.111 + 3929.823) / 12831.946)
=0.359591 / 0.331199
=1.0857

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(656.026 - 0 - 1950.549) / 13961.919
=-0.092718

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Loncin Motor Co has a M-score of -3.13 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Loncin Motor Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Loncin Motor Co (SHSE:603766) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No.116 Juye Road, C Area of Jiulong Industrial Park, Jiulongpo District, Chongqing, CHN, 400052
Loncin Motor Co Ltd is a China-based company engaged in manufacturing recreational vehicles, light-duty power units, engines and engine parts, and farm machinery. It is also involved in the development and incubation of burgeoning businesses with core technology of internal combustion engine as the platform.

Loncin Motor Co (SHSE:603766) Headlines

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