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Bohai Ferry Group Co (SHSE:603167) Beneish M-Score : -2.54 (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is Bohai Ferry Group Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.54 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Bohai Ferry Group Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:603167' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.67   Med: -2.32   Max: 0.19
Current: -2.54

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Bohai Ferry Group Co was 0.19. The lowest was -3.67. And the median was -2.32.


Bohai Ferry Group Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Bohai Ferry Group Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Bohai Ferry Group Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Bohai Ferry Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.72 -1.16 -2.14 -0.81 -3.03

Bohai Ferry Group Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.01 -2.67 -2.74 -3.03 -2.54

Competitive Comparison of Bohai Ferry Group Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Marine Shipping subindustry, Bohai Ferry Group Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bohai Ferry Group Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Bohai Ferry Group Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bohai Ferry Group Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Bohai Ferry Group Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Bohai Ferry Group Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9371+0.528 * 0.3162+0.404 * 0.9779+0.892 * 1.3533+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0569+4.679 * -0.025491-0.327 * 0.4352
=-2.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥230 Mil.
Revenue was 346.916 + 469.911 + 637.657 + 410.016 = ¥1,865 Mil.
Gross Profit was 48.986 + 125.508 + 248.603 + 94.524 = ¥518 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥713 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥4,600 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥3,326 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥79 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥358 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥0 Mil.
Net Income was 66.71 + 37.21 + 150.894 + 33.845 = ¥289 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 16.059 + 189.422 + 117.146 + 83.288 = ¥406 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥182 Mil.
Revenue was 322.265 + 308.175 + 408.341 + 339.006 = ¥1,378 Mil.
Gross Profit was 30.735 + -43.033 + 77.903 + 55.325 = ¥121 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥798 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥4,889 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥3,481 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥55 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥741 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥136 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(230.497 / 1864.5) / (181.765 / 1377.787)
=0.123624 / 0.131925
=0.9371

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(120.93 / 1377.787) / (517.621 / 1864.5)
=0.087771 / 0.277619
=0.3162

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (712.634 + 3325.783) / 4599.837) / (1 - (797.889 + 3481.365) / 4889.478)
=0.122052 / 0.124804
=0.9779

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1864.5 / 1377.787
=1.3533

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 3481.365)) / (0 / (0 + 3325.783))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(79.054 / 1864.5) / (55.273 / 1377.787)
=0.0424 / 0.040117
=1.0569

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0.457 + 358.471) / 4599.837) / ((135.8 + 740.976) / 4889.478)
=0.078031 / 0.179319
=0.4352

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(288.659 - 0 - 405.915) / 4599.837
=-0.025491

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Bohai Ferry Group Co has a M-score of -2.54 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Bohai Ferry Group Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Bohai Ferry Group Co (SHSE:603167) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 2 Huanhai Road, Zhifu District, Shandong Province, Yantai, CHN, 264000
Bohai Ferry Group Co Ltd is involved in the roll-on/roll-off (ro-ro) passenger transportation business. The company operates ro-ro passenger transportation businesses from Yantai to Dalian, Penglai to Dalian and Penglai to Lvshun.
Executives
Wang Fu Tian Directors, senior managers
Xue Feng senior management
Yu Xin Jian Directors, senior managers
Wang Hong Jun Director
Li Hong Xiang Director
Lin Jia Zhi senior management
Jia Ming Yang senior management
Zhan Li Director
Ning Wu senior management

Bohai Ferry Group Co (SHSE:603167) Headlines

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