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New China Life Insurance Co (SHSE:601336) Beneish M-Score : -2.92 (As of May. 13, 2024)


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What is New China Life Insurance Co Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.92 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for New China Life Insurance Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:601336' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.94   Med: -2.5   Max: -2.07
Current: -2.92

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of New China Life Insurance Co was -2.07. The lowest was -5.94. And the median was -2.50.


New China Life Insurance Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of New China Life Insurance Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4723+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0013+0.892 * 0.6194+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1793+4.679 * -0.059712-0.327 * 1.6956
=-2.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥4,008 Mil.
Revenue was 26495 + 10292 + 12960 + 19852 = ¥69,599 Mil.
Gross Profit was 26495 + 10292 + 12960 + 19852 = ¥69,599 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥0 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥1,429,598 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥19,113 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥2,244 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥21,140 Mil.
Net Income was 4942 + -830 + -436 + 3061 = ¥6,737 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 256 + 180 + 231 + 461 = ¥1,128 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 37658 + 11937 + 14103 + 27275 = ¥90,973 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥4,395 Mil.
Revenue was 29082 + 32204 + 24649 + 26432 = ¥112,367 Mil.
Gross Profit was 29082 + 32204 + 24649 + 26432 = ¥112,367 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥0 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥1,283,416 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥18,805 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥3,072 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥11,193 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4008 / 69599) / (4395 / 112367)
=0.057587 / 0.039113
=1.4723

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(112367 / 112367) / (69599 / 69599)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 19113) / 1429598) / (1 - (0 + 18805) / 1283416)
=0.986631 / 0.985348
=1.0013

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=69599 / 112367
=0.6194

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 18805)) / (0 / (0 + 19113))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2244 / 69599) / (3072 / 112367)
=0.032242 / 0.027339
=1.1793

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((21140 + 0) / 1429598) / ((11193 + 0) / 1283416)
=0.014787 / 0.008721
=1.6956

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6737 - 1128 - 90973) / 1429598
=-0.059712

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

New China Life Insurance Co has a M-score of -2.92 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


New China Life Insurance Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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New China Life Insurance Co (SHSE:601336) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
A12 Jianguomenwai Avenue, New China Insurance Tower, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100022
Headquartered in Beijing, New China Life Insurance, or NCI, was founded by SOEs and private firms in 1996. The company is the fourth-largest life insurer in China in terms of total assets. Huijin Investment, the government's investment company owns 31% shares of New China Life. The company was listed on the Hong Kong and Shanghai Stock Exchanges in 2011. New China Life offers comprehensive life insurance products and services to individual customers and institutional customers through nationwide distributional networks and diversified marketing channels, manages and deploys insurance funds through its subsidiaries, including Asset Management Company and Asset Management Company (Hong Kong).