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Jiangsu Expressway Co (SHSE:600377) Beneish M-Score : -2.06 (As of May. 07, 2024)


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What is Jiangsu Expressway Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.06 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Jiangsu Expressway Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:600377' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -18.34   Med: -2.65   Max: 0.2
Current: -2.06

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Jiangsu Expressway Co was 0.20. The lowest was -18.34. And the median was -2.65.


Jiangsu Expressway Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Jiangsu Expressway Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Jiangsu Expressway Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Jiangsu Expressway Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.65 -0.33 0.20 -2.31 -2.26

Jiangsu Expressway Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.33 -1.67 -2.47 -2.26 -2.06

Competitive Comparison of Jiangsu Expressway Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Infrastructure Operations subindustry, Jiangsu Expressway Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Jiangsu Expressway Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Jiangsu Expressway Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Jiangsu Expressway Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Jiangsu Expressway Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Jiangsu Expressway Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.5628+0.528 * 0.9124+0.404 * 1.0168+0.892 * 1.0622+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8178+4.679 * -0.036541-0.327 * 0.9257
=-2.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥2,089 Mil.
Revenue was 3473.393 + 3582.897 + 4473.101 + 3506.508 = ¥15,036 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1641.171 + 646.202 + 1755.774 + 1531.052 = ¥5,574 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥10,613 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥81,437 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥7,588 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥90 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥9,929 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥27,634 Mil.
Net Income was 1246.836 + 376.504 + 1554.873 + 1254.824 = ¥4,433 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1639.673 + 1837.043 + 1924.426 + 2007.685 = ¥7,409 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥1,258 Mil.
Revenue was 3629.504 + 3770.805 + 4609.398 + 2145.386 = ¥14,155 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1678.298 + 676.083 + 1658.035 + 775.318 = ¥4,788 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥10,779 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥80,057 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥8,142 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥104 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥13,332 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥26,560 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2088.696 / 15035.899) / (1258.232 / 14155.093)
=0.138914 / 0.088889
=1.5628

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4787.734 / 14155.093) / (5574.199 / 15035.899)
=0.338234 / 0.370726
=0.9124

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (10612.8 + 7587.924) / 81436.864) / (1 - (10778.711 + 8142.101) / 80056.724)
=0.776505 / 0.763657
=1.0168

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=15035.899 / 14155.093
=1.0622

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 8142.101)) / (0 / (0 + 7587.924))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(90.104 / 15035.899) / (103.73 / 14155.093)
=0.005993 / 0.007328
=0.8178

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((27633.777 + 9929.455) / 81436.864) / ((26560.295 + 13332.261) / 80056.724)
=0.461256 / 0.498304
=0.9257

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4433.037 - 0 - 7408.827) / 81436.864
=-0.036541

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Jiangsu Expressway Co has a M-score of -2.06 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Jiangsu Expressway Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Jiangsu Expressway Co (SHSE:600377) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6 Xianlin Avenue, Jiangsu Province, Nanjing, CHN, 210049
Jiangsu Expressway Co Ltd is principally engaged in the investment, construction, operation and management of toll roads and bridges in Jiangsu Province and the development of service areas along expressways. It operates through the following segments: Shanghai-Nanjing Expressway is a key revenue driver, Guangjing Expressway, and Xicheng Expressway, Xiyi Expressway and Wuxi Huantaihu Expressway, Ningchang Expressway and Zhenli Expressway, Zhendan Expressway, Wufengshan Expressway, Changyi Expressway, Yichang Expressway, Longtan Bridge, Ancillary services, Real estate development, sales of electricity and advertising and others.

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