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Thevola Group (SAU:2050) Beneish M-Score : -2.40 (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is Thevola Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.4 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Thevola Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SAU:2050' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.88   Med: -2.65   Max: -2.16
Current: -2.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Thevola Group was -2.16. The lowest was -2.88. And the median was -2.65.


Thevola Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Thevola Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Thevola Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Thevola Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.71 -2.64 -2.16 -2.47 -2.71

Thevola Group Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.65 -2.71 -2.82 -2.71 -2.40

Competitive Comparison of Thevola Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Thevola Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Thevola Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Thevola Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Thevola Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Thevola Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Thevola Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2286+0.528 * 0.8642+0.404 * 1.0209+0.892 * 0.9438+0.115 * 0.9599
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9663+4.679 * -0.002805-0.327 * 1.0002
=-2.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ﷼4,222 Mil.
Revenue was 7781.87 + 6559.635 + 6350.902 + 6093.286 = ﷼26,786 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1618.73 + 1383.864 + 1310.491 + 1246.956 = ﷼5,560 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼9,723 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼30,129 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼8,946 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼1,135 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼1,008 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼11,564 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼7,721 Mil.
Net Income was 348.709 + 227.051 + 147.356 + 132.032 = ﷼855 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ﷼0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 404.731 + 684.474 + 441 + -590.55 = ﷼940 Mil.
Total Receivables was ﷼3,641 Mil.
Revenue was 7814.494 + 6604.642 + 7072.405 + 6888.305 = ﷼28,380 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1502.033 + 1192.089 + 1148.917 + 1247.663 = ﷼5,091 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼10,102 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼30,303 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼8,911 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼1,080 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼1,105 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼12,298 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼7,094 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4222.177 / 26785.693) / (3641.184 / 28379.846)
=0.157628 / 0.128302
=1.2286

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5090.702 / 28379.846) / (5560.041 / 26785.693)
=0.179377 / 0.207575
=0.8642

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9723.012 + 8946.189) / 30128.551) / (1 - (10101.595 + 8911.495) / 30302.651)
=0.380349 / 0.37256
=1.0209

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=26785.693 / 28379.846
=0.9438

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1079.988 / (1079.988 + 8911.495)) / (1135.289 / (1135.289 + 8946.189))
=0.108091 / 0.112611
=0.9599

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1007.732 / 26785.693) / (1104.941 / 28379.846)
=0.037622 / 0.038934
=0.9663

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7720.621 + 11563.885) / 30128.551) / ((7093.692 + 12297.759) / 30302.651)
=0.640074 / 0.639926
=1.0002

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(855.148 - 0 - 939.655) / 30128.551
=-0.002805

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Thevola Group has a M-score of -2.40 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Thevola Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Thevola Group (SAU:2050) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Prince Faisal Bin Fahad Street, Savola Tower, The Headquarter Business Park, Ashati District, 2444 Taha Khusaifan-Ashati, Unit Number 15, Jeddah, SAU, 23511-7333
The Savola Group is a strategic investment holding company. It is focused on the food and retail sectors, with operations in the Middle East, Turkey and other regions. It is organized into the following operating segments namely Foods processing, Retail, Food Services, Frozen food and Investment. The group derives majority of revenue from the Foods processing segment which consists of includes manufacturing, sale and distribution of Edible oils, Sugar, Pasta, Spices, Nuts, Pulses and other food products.

Thevola Group (SAU:2050) Headlines

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