Al Rajhi Bank Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Al Rajhi Bank for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 1.0269 | + | 0.892 * 0.9608 | + | 0.115 * 0.9601 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 0.9145 | + | 4.679 * -0.013367 | - | 0.327 * 1.1753 |
| = | -2.61 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Dec23) TTM: | Last Year (Dec22) TTM: |
Total Receivables was ﷼0 Mil.
Revenue was 6953.11 + 6872.512 + 6827.448 + 6780.622 = ﷼27,434 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6953.11 + 6872.512 + 6827.448 + 6780.622 = ﷼27,434 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼52,198 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼808,098 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼12,853 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼1,578 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼2,395 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼14,445 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼4,424 Mil.
Net Income was 4170.623 + 4155.3 + 4150.062 + 4145.174 = ﷼16,621 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ﷼0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3209.956 + 5826.852 + 6926.265 + 11459.658 = ﷼27,423 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was ﷼0 Mil.
Revenue was 7242.627 + 7206.458 + 7147.858 + 6956.564 = ﷼28,554 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7242.627 + 7206.458 + 7147.858 + 6956.564 = ﷼28,554 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼68,310 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼761,619 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼11,339 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼1,330 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼2,726 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼14,408 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼723 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (0 / 27433.692) | / | (0 / 28553.507) |
| = | 0 | / | 0 |
| | = | 1 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (28553.507 / 28553.507) | / | (27433.692 / 27433.692) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (52198.237 + 12852.774) / 808098.272) | / | (1 - (68310.329 + 11338.782) / 761618.888) |
| = | 0.919501 | / | 0.895421 |
| | = | 1.0269 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 27433.692 | / | 28553.507 |
| | = | 0.9608 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (1330.119 / (1330.119 + 11338.782)) | / | (1578.009 / (1578.009 + 12852.774)) |
| = | 0.104991 | / | 0.10935 |
| | = | 0.9601 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (2394.841 / 27433.692) | / | (2725.76 / 28553.507) |
| = | 0.087296 | / | 0.095461 |
| | = | 0.9145 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((4424.015 + 14444.604) / 808098.272) | / | ((723.122 + 14408.097) / 761618.888) |
| = | 0.023349 | / | 0.019867 |
| | = | 1.1753 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (16621.159 - 0 | - | 27422.731) | / | 808098.272 |
| | = | -0.013367 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Al Rajhi Bank has a M-score of -2.61 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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