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Paramount Group (Paramount Group) Beneish M-Score : -2.61 (As of May. 10, 2024)


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What is Paramount Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.61 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Paramount Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

PGRE' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.91   Med: -2.49   Max: 7.7
Current: -2.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Paramount Group was 7.70. The lowest was -2.91. And the median was -2.49.


Paramount Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Paramount Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Paramount Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Paramount Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.49 -2.62 -2.61 -2.54 -2.59

Paramount Group Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 -2.57 -2.58 -2.59 -2.61

Competitive Comparison of Paramount Group's Beneish M-Score

For the REIT - Office subindustry, Paramount Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Paramount Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Paramount Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Paramount Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Paramount Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Paramount Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9923+0.528 * 1.0337+0.404 * 1.0013+0.892 * 0.9973+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0975+4.679 * -0.023956-0.327 * 1.0196
=-2.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $369.9 Mil.
Revenue was 188.877 + 192.471 + 189.181 + 172.662 = $743.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was 117.137 + 115.395 + 113.679 + 101.584 = $447.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $817.9 Mil.
Total Assets was $7,929.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $0.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $252.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $64.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $123.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,669.9 Mil.
Net Income was 9.865 + -205.55 + -8.385 + -47.538 = $-251.6 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 13.975 + -266.555 + -27.767 + -71.077 = $-351.4 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 69.89 + 102.262 + 37.541 + 80.088 = $289.8 Mil.
Total Receivables was $373.7 Mil.
Revenue was 188.474 + 184.028 + 187.147 + 185.517 = $745.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was 118.165 + 113.926 + 114.302 + 117.703 = $464.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $884.7 Mil.
Total Assets was $8,480.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $0.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $234.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $58.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $137.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,841.5 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(369.874 / 743.191) / (373.735 / 745.166)
=0.497684 / 0.501546
=0.9923

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(464.096 / 745.166) / (447.795 / 743.191)
=0.622809 / 0.60253
=1.0337

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (817.885 + 0) / 7929.725) / (1 - (884.71 + 0) / 8480.089)
=0.896858 / 0.895672
=1.0013

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=743.191 / 745.166
=0.9973

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(234.745 / (234.745 + 0)) / (252.566 / (252.566 + 0))
=1 / 1
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(63.997 / 743.191) / (58.465 / 745.166)
=0.086111 / 0.078459
=1.0975

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3669.85 + 123.414) / 7929.725) / ((3841.492 + 137.042) / 8480.089)
=0.47836 / 0.469162
=1.0196

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-251.608 - -351.424 - 289.781) / 7929.725
=-0.023956

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Paramount Group has a M-score of -2.61 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Paramount Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Paramount Group (Paramount Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1633 Broadway, Suite 1801, New York, NY, USA, 10019
Paramount Group Inc is a real estate investment trust engaged in owning, operating, managing, acquiring, and redeveloping high-quality, Class A office properties in select central business district ("CBD") submarkets of New York City and San Francisco. The company operates in two geographical segments New York and San Francisco. Paramount Group derives nearly all of its revenue in the form of rental income from leasing its offices to tenants. The company's New York City assets generate the majority of its total revenue.
Executives
Albert P. Behler director, officer: Chairman, CEO and President PARAMOUNT GROUP, INC., 1633 BROADWAY, SUITE 1801, NEW YORK NY 10019
Gage R. Johnson officer: SVP, GC and Secretary PARAMOUNT GROUP, INC., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10018
Thomas Armbrust director WERNER OTTO STRASSE 1-7, D-22179 HAMBURG 2M D-22179
Martin Bussmann director C/O PARAMOUNT GROUP, INC., 1633 BROADWAY, SUITE 1801, NEW YORK NY 10019
Paula Sutter director 969 BROADWAY, SUITE 200, OAKLAND CA 94607
Hitoshi Saito director PARAMOUNT GROUP, INC., 1633 BROADWAY, SUITE 1801, NEW YORK NY 10019
Ermelinda Berberi officer: See Remarks 1633 BROADWAY, SUITE 1801, NEW YORK NY 10019
Gregory S Wright director FOUR EMBARCADERO CENTER, SUITE 3200, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Katharina Otto-bernstein director, 10 percent owner C/O KG CURA VERMOGENSVERWALTUNG G.M.B.H., WANDSBEKER STR. 3-7, HAMBURG 2M 22179
Alexander Otto 10 percent owner C/O KG CURA VERMOGENSVERWALTUNG G.M.B.H., WANDSBEKER STR. 3-7, HAMBURG 2M 22179
Maren Otto 10 percent owner WERNER-OTTO-STR. 1-7, HAMBURG 2M D-22179
Dyer Colin director JONES LANG LASALLE INCORPORATED, 200 EAST RANDOLPH DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60601
David Zobel officer: See Remarks 144 E. 84TH STREET #6D, NEW YORK NY 10028
Mark R Patterson director 40 MINNISINK ROAD, SHORT HILLS NJ 07078
Brindley Peter R.c. officer: EVP, Leasing 1633 BROADWAY, SUITE 1801, NEW YORK NY 10019

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