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Otter Tail (Otter Tail) Beneish M-Score : -2.59 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Otter Tail Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.59 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Otter Tail's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OTTR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.57   Med: -2.69   Max: -2.49
Current: -2.59

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Otter Tail was -2.49. The lowest was -4.57. And the median was -2.69.


Otter Tail Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Otter Tail's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Otter Tail Beneish M-Score Chart

Otter Tail Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.69 -4.57 -2.80 -2.59

Otter Tail Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -2.87 -2.84 -2.75 -2.59

Competitive Comparison of Otter Tail's Beneish M-Score

For the Utilities - Diversified subindustry, Otter Tail's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Otter Tail's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Otter Tail's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Otter Tail's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Otter Tail Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Otter Tail for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1779+0.528 * 0.9327+0.404 * 0.9624+0.892 * 0.924+0.115 * 1.0319
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9786+4.679 * -0.03792-0.327 * 0.9559
=-2.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $157 Mil.
Revenue was 314.313 + 358.056 + 337.716 + 339.081 = $1,349 Mil.
Gross Profit was 120.091 + 165.721 + 151.491 + 127.846 = $565 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $570 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,243 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,418 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $98 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $62 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $310 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $824 Mil.
Net Income was 57.767 + 91.974 + 81.969 + 62.481 = $294 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 4.809 + 2.471 + 3.253 + 2.118 = $13 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 86.004 + 133.998 + 128.944 + 55.553 = $404 Mil.
Total Receivables was $144 Mil.
Revenue was 301.409 + 383.856 + 400.04 + 374.904 = $1,460 Mil.
Gross Profit was 100.884 + 159.811 + 166.319 + 143.485 = $570 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $453 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,902 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,213 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $93 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $69 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $238 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $824 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(157.143 / 1349.166) / (144.393 / 1460.209)
=0.116474 / 0.098885
=1.1779

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(570.499 / 1460.209) / (565.149 / 1349.166)
=0.390697 / 0.418888
=0.9327

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (570.17 + 2418.375) / 3242.568) / (1 - (452.752 + 2212.717) / 2901.661)
=0.07834 / 0.081399
=0.9624

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1349.166 / 1460.209
=0.924

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(92.597 / (92.597 + 2212.717)) / (97.954 / (97.954 + 2418.375))
=0.040167 / 0.038927
=1.0319

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(62.066 / 1349.166) / (68.642 / 1460.209)
=0.046003 / 0.047008
=0.9786

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((824.059 + 309.757) / 3242.568) / ((823.821 + 237.636) / 2901.661)
=0.349666 / 0.36581
=0.9559

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(294.191 - 12.651 - 404.499) / 3242.568
=-0.03792

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Otter Tail has a M-score of -2.59 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Otter Tail Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Otter Tail (Otter Tail) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
215 South Cascade Street, P.O. Box 496, Fergus Falls, MN, USA, 56538-0496
Otter Tail Corp is a U.S. energy company that primarily operates in the electric (produces and sells electricity), manufacturing (fabricates metal components), and plastics segments (pipes for water uses). The company primarily conducts its operations and acquires the majority of its revenue in the U.S. in the states of Minnesota, South Dakota, and North Dakota. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from the Electric segment and commercial customers, although it generates revenue from residential and industrial customers, as well.
Executives
John D Erickson director, officer: President & CEO 215 S CASCADE ST, FERGUS FALLS MN 56537
Mary E Ludford director 215 S CASCADE STREET, FERGUS FALLS MN 56537
Jeanne H Crain director 215 S CASCADE STREET, FERGUS FALLS MN 56537
Michael E Lebeau director 215 S CASCADE STREET, FERGUS FALLS MN 56537
Timothy J O'keefe director 215 S CASCADE ST, FERGUS FALLS MN 56537-2801
John S Abbott officer: Pres Varistar, Sr VP, M/I Plat 215 S CASCADE ST, FERGUS FALLS MN 56537-2801
Paul L Knutson officer: VP of Human Resources 215 S CASCADE ST, FERGUS FALLS MN 56537-2801
Kevin G Moug officer: CFO & Treasurer 215 S CASCADE ST, FERGUS FALLS MN 56537
Thomas J Webb director ONE ENERGY PLAZA, JACKSON MI 49201
Jennifer O. Smestad officer: VP, Gen Coun & Corp Sec 215 S. CASCADE STREET, FERGUS FALLS MN 56537
George A Koeck officer: Corp Secretary & Gen Counsel 215 S CASCADE ST, FERGUS FALLS MN 56537
Timothy J Rogelstad officer: Sr VP, Elect Plat; Pres OTP 215 S CASCADE ST, FERGUS FALLS MN 56537-2801
Steven L Fritze director 370 WBASHA ST NORTH, ST PAUL MN 55102
Arvid R Liebe director 215 S CASCADE ST, FERGUS FALLS MN 56537
Kathryn O Johnson director 215 S CASCADE STREET, FERGUS FALLS MN 56537-2801