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NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S (OCSE:NTG) Beneish M-Score : -2.79 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.79 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OCSE:NTG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.3   Med: -2.54   Max: -2.12
Current: -2.79

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S was -2.12. The lowest was -3.30. And the median was -2.54.


NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S Beneish M-Score Chart

NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.32 -3.30 -2.12 -2.54 -2.79

NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.65 -2.95 -2.88 -2.79

Competitive Comparison of NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S's Beneish M-Score

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S's Beneish M-Score falls into.



NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9737+0.528 * 0.9058+0.404 * 1.0509+0.892 * 0.8155+0.115 * 1.076
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0+4.679 * -0.056913-0.327 * 1.024
=-2.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr1,203 Mil.
Revenue was 2001 + 1963 + 2120 + 2254 = kr8,338 Mil.
Gross Profit was 629 + 389 + 482 + 208 = kr1,708 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr1,482 Mil.
Total Assets was kr3,848 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr891 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr223 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr1,762 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr668 Mil.
Net Income was 94 + 105 + 81 + 94 = kr374 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = kr0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 289 + 125 + 73 + 106 = kr593 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr1,515 Mil.
Revenue was 2496 + 2821 + 2729 + 2178 = kr10,224 Mil.
Gross Profit was 681 + 477 + 533 + 206 = kr1,897 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr1,802 Mil.
Total Assets was kr4,104 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr805 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr221 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr107 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr1,928 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr603 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1203 / 8338) / (1515 / 10224)
=0.144279 / 0.148181
=0.9737

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1897 / 10224) / (1708 / 8338)
=0.185544 / 0.204845
=0.9058

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1482 + 891) / 3848) / (1 - (1802 + 805) / 4104)
=0.383316 / 0.364766
=1.0509

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=8338 / 10224
=0.8155

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(221 / (221 + 805)) / (223 / (223 + 891))
=0.2154 / 0.20018
=1.076

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 8338) / (107 / 10224)
=0 / 0.010466
=0

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((668 + 1762) / 3848) / ((603 + 1928) / 4104)
=0.631497 / 0.616715
=1.024

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(374 - 0 - 593) / 3848
=-0.056913

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S has a M-score of -2.79 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S (OCSE:NTG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Hammerholmen 47-49, Hvidovre, DNK, DK-2650
NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S is a Denmark-based transport company. It offers the full range of freight forwarding services and end-to-end solutions within Air and Ocean and Road and Logistics fuelled by people power and technology. Business segments of the company include Road and Logistics and Air and Ocean. The majority of revenue is earned through Road and Logistics segment. The revenues are earned in Denmark, Sweden, the USA, Germany, Finland and other countries with the majority of the revenue earned in Denmark.