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Foley Wines (NZSE:FWL) Beneish M-Score : -2.20 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Foley Wines Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.2 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Foley Wines's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NZSE:FWL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.84   Med: -2.33   Max: -2.09
Current: -2.2

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Foley Wines was -2.09. The lowest was -2.84. And the median was -2.33.


Foley Wines Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Foley Wines's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Foley Wines Beneish M-Score Chart

Foley Wines Annual Data
Trend Jun13 Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.84 -2.09 -2.61 -2.20

Foley Wines Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.61 - -2.20 -

Competitive Comparison of Foley Wines's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Foley Wines's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Foley Wines's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Foley Wines's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Foley Wines's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Foley Wines Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Foley Wines for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2136+0.528 * 1.1585+0.404 * 0.9372+0.892 * 1.155+0.115 * 0.9725
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0134+4.679 * -0.016454-0.327 * 1.0909
=-2.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was NZ$13.78 Mil.
Revenue was NZ$66.63 Mil.
Gross Profit was NZ$22.33 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NZ$68.10 Mil.
Total Assets was NZ$248.08 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NZ$143.94 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NZ$6.21 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NZ$10.14 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NZ$29.43 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NZ$56.04 Mil.
Net Income was NZ$6.34 Mil.
Gross Profit was NZ$0.08 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was NZ$10.35 Mil.
Total Receivables was NZ$9.83 Mil.
Revenue was NZ$57.69 Mil.
Gross Profit was NZ$22.40 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NZ$62.62 Mil.
Total Assets was NZ$233.22 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NZ$134.45 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NZ$5.63 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NZ$8.66 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NZ$20.69 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NZ$52.96 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(13.784 / 66.632) / (9.834 / 57.692)
=0.206868 / 0.170457
=1.2136

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(22.398 / 57.692) / (22.329 / 66.632)
=0.388234 / 0.335109
=1.1585

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (68.1 + 143.939) / 248.08) / (1 - (62.622 + 134.445) / 233.22)
=0.14528 / 0.155017
=0.9372

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=66.632 / 57.692
=1.155

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5.634 / (5.634 + 134.445)) / (6.21 / (6.21 + 143.939))
=0.04022 / 0.041359
=0.9725

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(10.138 / 66.632) / (8.662 / 57.692)
=0.152149 / 0.150142
=1.0134

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((56.035 + 29.427) / 248.08) / ((52.96 + 20.685) / 233.22)
=0.344494 / 0.315775
=1.0909

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6.342 - 0.076 - 10.348) / 248.08
=-0.016454

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Foley Wines has a M-score of -2.20 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Foley Wines Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Foley Wines (NZSE:FWL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
13 Waihopai Valley Road, RD6, Blenheim, MBH, NZL, 7276
Foley Wines Ltd is a wine company that produces table wines and markets and sells premium wines in New Zealand and various export markets. The company's vineyards are in Marlborough and Martinborough, New Zealand. The company earns majority of its revenue from sale of bottled wines. It sells its products in New Zealand, Australia, the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Europe, and the rest of the world.

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