GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » Mesa Air Group Inc (NAS:MESA) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

Mesa Air Group (Mesa Air Group) Beneish M-Score : -1.35 (As of May. 12, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2018. Start your Free Trial

What is Mesa Air Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.35 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mesa Air Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MESA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.89   Med: -2.26   Max: 76.6
Current: -1.35

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Mesa Air Group was 76.60. The lowest was -3.89. And the median was -2.26.


Mesa Air Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mesa Air Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mesa Air Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Mesa Air Group Annual Data
Trend Sep07 Sep08 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.31 -2.78 76.60 -2.21 -1.35

Mesa Air Group Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.21 0.35 -2.69 -3.03 -1.35

Competitive Comparison of Mesa Air Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, Mesa Air Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mesa Air Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Mesa Air Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mesa Air Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Mesa Air Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Mesa Air Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 2.2117+0.528 * 2.082+0.404 * 0.5945+0.892 * 0.938+0.115 * 1.0479
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1825+4.679 * -0.060219-0.327 * 1.0845
=-1.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $8.3 Mil.
Revenue was 114.366 + 114.691 + 121.834 + 147.173 = $498.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was -5.696 + -4.118 + 3.643 + 21.28 = $15.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $138.6 Mil.
Total Assets was $898.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $707.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $60.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $48.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $267.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $373.9 Mil.
Net Income was -28.345 + -47.56 + -35.122 + -9.09 = $-120.1 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -0.976 + -21.854 + -14.11 + -4.981 = $-41.9 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -10.254 + -5.201 + -2.602 + -6.034 = $-24.1 Mil.
Total Receivables was $4.0 Mil.
Revenue was 125.634 + 134.397 + 123.213 + 147.757 = $531.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7.66 + 12.047 + 3.265 + 10.564 = $33.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $98.3 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,115.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $908.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $81.5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $44.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $214.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $520.3 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(8.253 / 498.064) / (3.978 / 531.001)
=0.01657 / 0.007492
=2.2117

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(33.536 / 531.001) / (15.109 / 498.064)
=0.063156 / 0.030335
=2.082

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (138.586 + 707.731) / 898.467) / (1 - (98.334 + 908.344) / 1115.602)
=0.058043 / 0.097637
=0.5945

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=498.064 / 531.001
=0.938

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(81.508 / (81.508 + 908.344)) / (60.359 / (60.359 + 707.731))
=0.082344 / 0.078583
=1.0479

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(48.765 / 498.064) / (43.966 / 531.001)
=0.097909 / 0.082798
=1.1825

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((373.855 + 267.906) / 898.467) / ((520.299 + 214.477) / 1115.602)
=0.714284 / 0.658636
=1.0845

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-120.117 - -41.921 - -24.091) / 898.467
=-0.060219

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Mesa Air Group has a M-score of -1.35 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Mesa Air Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Mesa Air Group's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Mesa Air Group (Mesa Air Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
410 North 44th Street, Suite 700, Phoenix, AZ, USA, 85008
Mesa Air Group Inc is a regional air carrier providing scheduled passenger service. It provides scheduled passenger service to 129 cities in the District of Columbia, the Bahamas, and Mexico, as well as cargo services out of Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport. Flights are operated as American Eagle, United Express, or DHL Express flights to the terms of capacity purchase agreements with American and United and a flight services agreement with DHL. The business has a presence in domestic hubs and cities, including Dallas, Houston, Phoenix, and Washington-Dulles.
Executives
Jonathan Ireland director 410 NORTH 44TH STREET, SUITE 700, PHOENIX AZ 85008
Daniel Jerome Mchugh director 410 N 44TH ST STE 700, PHOENIX AZ 85008
Daniel Torque Zubeck officer: CFO & Treasurer 16832 12TH AVE SW, NORMANDY WA 98166
Jonathan G Ornstein director, officer: Chairman & CEO 410 N. 44TH STREET, SUITE 700, PHOENIX AZ 85008
Mitchell I Gordon director C/O OCEANTECH ACQUISITIONS I CORP, 515 MADISON AVENUE, 8TH FL - SUITE 8133, NEW YORK NY 10022
Brian S Gillman officer: General Counsel 410 N. 44TH STREET, SUITE 700, PHOENIX AZ 85008
Spyridon Skiados director 410 N. 44TH STREET, SUITE 700, PHOENIX AZ 85008
Harvey W Schiller director 410 N. 44TH STREET, SUITE 700, PHOENIX AZ 85008
Michael Lotz officer: President and COO 410 N. 44TH STREET, SUITE 700, PHOENIX AZ 85008
Ellen N. Artist director 410 N. 44TH STREET, SUITE 700, PHOENIX AZ 85008
Dana J Lockhart director 410 N. 44TH STREET, SUITE 700, PHOENIX AZ 85008
Bradford R Rich officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer MESA AIR GROUP, 410 NORTH 44TH STREET, PHOENIX AZ 85008
Michael L Ferverda officer: President, Freedom Airlines 410 N. 44TH STREET, SUITE 700, PHOENIX AZ 85008
G Grant Lyon director 410 N. 44TH STREET, SUITE 700, PHOENIX AZ 85008
Daniel Joseph Altobello director 6550 ROCK SPRING DR, SUITE 550, BETHESDA MD 20817