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Dawood Hercules (KAR:DAWH) Beneish M-Score : -3.46 (As of Jun. 03, 2024)


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What is Dawood Hercules Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.46 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dawood Hercules's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:DAWH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.46   Med: -2.47   Max: 1157.29
Current: -3.46

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Dawood Hercules was 1157.29. The lowest was -3.46. And the median was -2.47.


Dawood Hercules Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dawood Hercules's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dawood Hercules Beneish M-Score Chart

Dawood Hercules Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.37 -2.89 -2.61 -2.48 -3.05

Dawood Hercules Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.47 -2.54 -2.78 -3.05 -3.46

Competitive Comparison of Dawood Hercules's Beneish M-Score

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Dawood Hercules's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dawood Hercules's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Dawood Hercules's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dawood Hercules's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Dawood Hercules Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Dawood Hercules for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.2587+0.528 * 0.875+0.404 * 0.9045+0.892 * 1.3388+0.115 * 0.4974
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0384+4.679 * -0.090696-0.327 * 1.0202
=-3.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₨51,752 Mil.
Revenue was 104299.728 + 143190.315 + 136816.615 + 105149.542 = ₨489,456 Mil.
Gross Profit was 27593.148 + 50003.166 + 44416.155 + 35653.604 = ₨157,666 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨500,851 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨800,457 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨202,752 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨20,228 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨19,598 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨434,192 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨117,035 Mil.
Net Income was 2632.392 + 459.528 + 6091.514 + -153.252 = ₨9,030 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₨0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1880.998 + 25824.252 + 39469.487 + 18215.396 = ₨81,628 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₨149,444 Mil.
Revenue was 97332.43 + 87903.04 + 91160.356 + 89210.508 = ₨365,606 Mil.
Gross Profit was 25562.924 + 23865.963 + 26617.547 + 27005.916 = ₨103,052 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨333,646 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨813,249 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨370,807 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨17,521 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨14,098 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨294,870 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨254,098 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(51751.74 / 489456.2) / (149443.972 / 365606.334)
=0.105733 / 0.408757
=0.2587

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(103052.35 / 365606.334) / (157666.073 / 489456.2)
=0.281867 / 0.322125
=0.875

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (500851.42 + 202751.861) / 800457.104) / (1 - (333645.991 + 370806.519) / 813248.809)
=0.120998 / 0.13378
=0.9045

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=489456.2 / 365606.334
=1.3388

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(17520.768 / (17520.768 + 370806.519)) / (20227.782 / (20227.782 + 202751.861))
=0.045119 / 0.090716
=0.4974

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(19598.362 / 489456.2) / (14097.883 / 365606.334)
=0.040041 / 0.03856
=1.0384

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((117035.014 + 434191.581) / 800457.104) / ((254097.964 + 294869.626) / 813248.809)
=0.68864 / 0.67503
=1.0202

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(9030.182 - 0 - 81628.137) / 800457.104
=-0.090696

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Dawood Hercules has a M-score of -3.46 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Dawood Hercules Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Dawood Hercules (KAR:DAWH) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
M.T. Khan Road, Dawood Centre, Karachi, SD, PAK, 75530
Dawood Hercules Corp Ltd is in the business of energy, agriculture, and food. It manages investments in its subsidiaries and associated companies. The company's segments are Fertilizer, Polymer, Terminal, Power and Mining, Connectivity and Telcom and other Operating segments. The segment's activities include manufacturing, purchasing, marketing and selling fertilizers, Poly Vinyl Chloride, PVC compounds, Caustic soda and related chemicals, dairy products beverages, ice cream, frozen desserts and other products, promotion of its own brands such as Engro, Zarkhez, Zingro, EngroDAP and Envy, import and sale phosphate products, power generation, distribution transmission and sale of electricity, operating a terminal and management of investments.

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