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Nictus (JSE:NCS) Beneish M-Score : -2.58 (As of Jun. 05, 2024)


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What is Nictus Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.58 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nictus's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:NCS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.33   Med: -2.34   Max: -1.77
Current: -2.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nictus was -1.77. The lowest was -3.33. And the median was -2.34.


Nictus Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nictus's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nictus Beneish M-Score Chart

Nictus Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.94 -2.30 -2.76 -2.26 -2.58

Nictus Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.26 - -2.58 -

Competitive Comparison of Nictus's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Nictus's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nictus's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Nictus's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nictus's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Nictus Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nictus for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0509+0.528 * 0.9595+0.404 * 0.8697+0.892 * 1.0414+0.115 * 0.7266
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1+4.679 * -0.010947-0.327 * 1.0229
=-2.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R395.24 Mil.
Revenue was R46.48 Mil.
Gross Profit was R23.36 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R813.31 Mil.
Total Assets was R870.41 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R9.52 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R4.38 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R13.87 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R748.29 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R4.96 Mil.
Net Income was R8.22 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R17.75 Mil.
Total Receivables was R361.16 Mil.
Revenue was R44.63 Mil.
Gross Profit was R21.52 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R651.53 Mil.
Total Assets was R710.00 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R13.83 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R4.11 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R12.11 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R591.82 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R8.88 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(395.239 / 46.48) / (361.162 / 44.634)
=8.503421 / 8.091634
=1.0509

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(21.522 / 44.634) / (23.358 / 46.48)
=0.482188 / 0.502539
=0.9595

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (813.307 + 9.519) / 870.408) / (1 - (651.532 + 13.834) / 709.995)
=0.054666 / 0.062858
=0.8697

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=46.48 / 44.634
=1.0414

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4.11 / (4.11 + 13.834)) / (4.382 / (4.382 + 9.519))
=0.229046 / 0.315229
=0.7266

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(13.87 / 46.48) / (12.108 / 44.634)
=0.298408 / 0.271273
=1.1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4.961 + 748.291) / 870.408) / ((8.876 + 591.821) / 709.995)
=0.865401 / 0.846058
=1.0229

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(8.221 - 0 - 17.749) / 870.408
=-0.010947

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nictus has a M-score of -2.58 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Nictus (JSE:NCS) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Block C, 1st Floor, 392 Main Road, The Main Straight Office Park, Bryanston, ZAF, 2191
Nictus Ltd operates as a retailer of household furniture, electrical appliances, and home electronics through the Nictus Furnishers brand and a short-term insurer through the Corporate Guarantee brand. The company owns three furniture retail stores located in Makhado, Polokwane and Randburg, South Africa. It operates in two segments namely Furniture segment and Insurance and Finance segment provides short-term insurance. Majority of the revenue is derived from the retailing of furniture and other products.

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