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Frontier Transport Holdings (JSE:FTH) Beneish M-Score : -2.38 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is Frontier Transport Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.38 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Frontier Transport Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:FTH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.88   Med: -2.38   Max: -2.19
Current: -2.38

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Frontier Transport Holdings was -2.19. The lowest was -3.88. And the median was -2.38.


Frontier Transport Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Frontier Transport Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Frontier Transport Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Frontier Transport Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -3.88 -2.66 -2.27 -2.19 -2.38

Frontier Transport Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.19 - -2.38 -

Competitive Comparison of Frontier Transport Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Railroads subindustry, Frontier Transport Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Frontier Transport Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Frontier Transport Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Frontier Transport Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Frontier Transport Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Frontier Transport Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8633+0.528 * 0.9973+0.404 * 0.9405+0.892 * 1.1509+0.115 * 0.9201
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.020034-0.327 * 0.8977
=-2.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R52 Mil.
Revenue was R2,394 Mil.
Gross Profit was R2,294 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R797 Mil.
Total Assets was R2,410 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R1,582 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R100 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R423 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R84 Mil.
Net Income was R277 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R229 Mil.
Total Receivables was R52 Mil.
Revenue was R2,080 Mil.
Gross Profit was R1,988 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R699 Mil.
Total Assets was R2,325 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R1,594 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R92 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R419 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R126 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(52.089 / 2393.841) / (52.428 / 2080.002)
=0.02176 / 0.025206
=0.8633

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1987.974 / 2080.002) / (2294.053 / 2393.841)
=0.955756 / 0.958315
=0.9973

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (796.606 + 1582.34) / 2410.296) / (1 - (699.181 + 1593.969) / 2325.31)
=0.013007 / 0.01383
=0.9405

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2393.841 / 2080.002
=1.1509

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(92.028 / (92.028 + 1593.969)) / (99.787 / (99.787 + 1582.34))
=0.054584 / 0.059322
=0.9201

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 2393.841) / (0 / 2080.002)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((84.495 + 423.225) / 2410.296) / ((126.116 + 419.49) / 2325.31)
=0.210646 / 0.234638
=0.8977

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(277.489 - 0 - 229.201) / 2410.296
=0.020034

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frontier Transport Holdings has a M-score of -2.38 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Frontier Transport Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Frontier Transport Holdings (JSE:FTH) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
103 Bofors Circle, Epping Industria, Cape Town, WC, ZAF, 7460
Frontier Transport Holdings Ltd, formerly Hosken Passenger Logistics And Rail Ltd through its subsidiary provide a scheduled commuter bus operator in the Cape Metropole. It is engaged in the provision of passenger transport services within South Africa. The company operates in the luxury and semi-luxury coach markets.

Frontier Transport Holdings (JSE:FTH) Headlines

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