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Alexander Forbes Group Holdings (JSE:AFH) Beneish M-Score : -2.77 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.77 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alexander Forbes Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:AFH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.23   Med: -2.39   Max: -1.34
Current: -2.77

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alexander Forbes Group Holdings was -1.34. The lowest was -3.23. And the median was -2.39.


Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alexander Forbes Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.23 -2.12 -1.34 -2.38 -2.77

Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.38 - -2.77 -

Competitive Comparison of Alexander Forbes Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Financial Conglomerates subindustry, Alexander Forbes Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alexander Forbes Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, Alexander Forbes Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alexander Forbes Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alexander Forbes Group Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.507+0.528 * 1.0041+0.404 * 1.0024+0.892 * 1.0688+0.115 * 0.8873
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8775+4.679 * 0.001098-0.327 * 0.728
=-2.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R511 Mil.
Revenue was R4,487 Mil.
Gross Profit was R1,915 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R10,236 Mil.
Total Assets was R386,265 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R387 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R253 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R302 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R1,238 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R384 Mil.
Net Income was R704 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R280 Mil.
Total Receivables was R943 Mil.
Revenue was R4,198 Mil.
Gross Profit was R1,799 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R10,587 Mil.
Total Assets was R370,484 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R472 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R255 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R322 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R1,718 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R419 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(511 / 4487) / (943 / 4198)
=0.113885 / 0.224631
=0.507

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1799 / 4198) / (1915 / 4487)
=0.428537 / 0.426789
=1.0041

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (10236 + 387) / 386265) / (1 - (10587 + 472) / 370484)
=0.972498 / 0.97015
=1.0024

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4487 / 4198
=1.0688

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(255 / (255 + 472)) / (253 / (253 + 387))
=0.350757 / 0.395313
=0.8873

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(302 / 4487) / (322 / 4198)
=0.067306 / 0.076703
=0.8775

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((384 + 1238) / 386265) / ((419 + 1718) / 370484)
=0.004199 / 0.005768
=0.728

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(704 - 0 - 280) / 386265
=0.001098

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alexander Forbes Group Holdings has a M-score of -2.77 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Alexander Forbes Group Holdings (JSE:AFH) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
115 West Street, Alexander Forbes, Sandown, Johannesburg, GT, ZAF, 2196
Alexander Forbes Group Holdings Ltd offers integrated retirement, investment, life, and insurance solutions to customers worldwide. Alexander's business is divided into two platforms, institutional and retail. Its reported segments Investment Solutions, AF Financial Services, and AF Insurance serve clients under each of its platforms. The group's customer base is composed of retirement funds, corporations, trustees, unions, individuals, dependents, and other organizations. Products and services include consulting and advisory for a range of different situations, such as actuarial, asset and investment, and beneficiary fund. On the retail side, individuals and dependents are offered insurance, research, investment portfolios, and other services.

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