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PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (ISX:TRGU) Beneish M-Score : 0.90 (As of May. 30, 2024)


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What is PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 0.9 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:TRGU' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.89   Med: 0.58   Max: 0.9
Current: 0.9

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk was 0.90. The lowest was -0.89. And the median was 0.58.


PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - - 0.58

PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -0.89 0.58 0.90

Competitive Comparison of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.



PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6164+0.528 * 2.6316+0.404 * 6.2192+0.892 * 1.6183+0.115 * 0.8811
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * -0.0882+4.679 * 0.013738-0.327 * 1.0938
=0.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp1,045,569 Mil.
Revenue was 1783704.081 + 1946125.859 + 1545856.78 + 1189875.287 = Rp6,465,562 Mil.
Gross Profit was 53943.234 + 22841.717 + 85954.42 + 30367.604 = Rp193,107 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp2,422,848 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp3,836,556 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp1,357,424 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp2,999 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp-5,420 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp2,760,187 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp36,697 Mil.
Net Income was 1670.929 + -3149.904 + -1834 + -11514.925 = Rp-14,828 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -11672.121 + 52833.485 + -111127.784 + 2432.832 = Rp-67,534 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp1,048,268 Mil.
Revenue was 1192801.96 + 1064394.774 + 987700.149 + 750492.139 = Rp3,995,389 Mil.
Gross Profit was 77181.168 + 5738.843 + 148031.814 + 83077.552 = Rp314,029 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp1,838,808 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp3,191,570 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp1,345,233 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp2,618 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp37,942 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp2,061,151 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp65,913 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1045568.82 / 6465562.007) / (1048267.502 / 3995389.022)
=0.161714 / 0.262369
=0.6164

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(314029.377 / 3995389.022) / (193106.975 / 6465562.007)
=0.078598 / 0.029867
=2.6316

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2422847.882 + 1357423.804) / 3836556.026) / (1 - (1838808.247 + 1345233.139) / 3191570.345)
=0.014671 / 0.002359
=6.2192

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6465562.007 / 3995389.022
=1.6183

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2618.013 / (2618.013 + 1345233.139)) / (2998.902 / (2998.902 + 1357423.804))
=0.001942 / 0.002204
=0.8811

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(-5419.932 / 6465562.007) / (37942.324 / 3995389.022)
=-0.000838 / 0.009497
=-0.0882

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((36697.36 + 2760186.867) / 3836556.026) / ((65913.468 + 2061150.554) / 3191570.345)
=0.729009 / 0.666463
=1.0938

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-14827.9 - 0 - -67533.588) / 3836556.026
=0.013738

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk has a M-score of 0.90 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (ISX:TRGU) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Jl. MH Thamrin No. 81, The City Tower 28th Floor, Jakarta Pusat, IDN, 10310
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is engaged in the flour industry and cereal/grain trading through Subsidiaries and management consulting services.

PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (ISX:TRGU) Headlines

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