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Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS (IST:ALKA) Beneish M-Score : -4.91 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.91 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IST:ALKA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.91   Med: -1.84   Max: 1.61
Current: -4.91

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS was 1.61. The lowest was -4.91. And the median was -1.84.


Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Chart

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.56 -1.42 -1.73 1.61 -4.91

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Semi-Annual Data
Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.56 -1.42 -1.73 1.61 -4.91

Competitive Comparison of Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6091+0.528 * 1.2469+0.404 * 0.8958+0.892 * 0.6741+0.115 * 1.681
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 2.0066+4.679 * -0.366284-0.327 * 1.1701
=-4.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₺225 Mil.
Revenue was ₺2,390 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₺546 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺1,172 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺1,696 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺517 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺33 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺58 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺408 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺0 Mil.
Net Income was ₺91 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₺0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₺712 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₺548 Mil.
Revenue was ₺3,545 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₺1,009 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺1,391 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺1,745 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺346 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺38 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺43 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺359 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(225.02 / 2389.692) / (547.984 / 3544.912)
=0.094163 / 0.154583
=0.6091

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1009.231 / 3544.912) / (545.639 / 2389.692)
=0.284698 / 0.22833
=1.2469

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1172.381 + 517.165) / 1695.813) / (1 - (1391.454 + 346.285) / 1744.939)
=0.003696 / 0.004126
=0.8958

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2389.692 / 3544.912
=0.6741

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(38.236 / (38.236 + 346.285)) / (32.516 / (32.516 + 517.165))
=0.099438 / 0.059154
=1.681

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(58.008 / 2389.692) / (42.883 / 3544.912)
=0.024274 / 0.012097
=2.0066

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 407.805) / 1695.813) / ((0 + 358.608) / 1744.939)
=0.240478 / 0.205513
=1.1701

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(90.551 - 0 - 711.701) / 1695.813
=-0.366284

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS has a M-score of -4.91 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS (IST:ALKA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Kirovakan Mevkii Kemalpasa, Gulab OSB, Izmir, TUR, 35730
Alkim Kagit Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is a Turkey-based company engaged in the manufacture of paper and paper products. The company's main products are wood-free offset papers, coated papers, office papers and special papers. Alkim Kagit Sanayi ve Ticaret AS sells most of its products in the turkey market. It exports to over 25 countries, especially in Europe. In addition, the Balkan countries, Russia and Africa are part of the company's customer portfolio. Its wood-free offset, coated and office papers are produced in Alkim Paper Production Plants. The firm operates a cogeneration plant that meets its energy requirements.

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS (IST:ALKA) Headlines

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