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JiLin JiuTai Rural Commercial Bank (HKSE:06122) Beneish M-Score : -2.62 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is JiLin JiuTai Rural Commercial Bank Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.62 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for JiLin JiuTai Rural Commercial Bank's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:06122' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.14   Med: -2.56   Max: -2.2
Current: -2.62

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of JiLin JiuTai Rural Commercial Bank was -2.20. The lowest was -3.14. And the median was -2.56.


JiLin JiuTai Rural Commercial Bank Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of JiLin JiuTai Rural Commercial Bank for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0329+0.892 * 0.7237+0.115 * 0.9984
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3649+4.679 * 0.00383-0.327 * 0.5831
=-2.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$0 Mil.
Revenue was HK$5,399 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$5,399 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$43,387 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$295,074 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$3,314 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$472 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$571 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$169 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$4,012 Mil.
Net Income was HK$184 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$-946 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$0 Mil.
Revenue was HK$7,460 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$7,460 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$51,548 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$298,164 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$3,648 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$518 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$578 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$790 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$6,455 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 5399.003) / (0 / 7460.454)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7460.454 / 7460.454) / (5399.003 / 5399.003)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (43387.334 + 3314.285) / 295074.188) / (1 - (51547.62 + 3647.876) / 298163.666)
=0.841729 / 0.814882
=1.0329

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5399.003 / 7460.454
=0.7237

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(518.155 / (518.155 + 3647.876)) / (471.613 / (471.613 + 3314.285))
=0.124376 / 0.124571
=0.9984

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(571.317 / 5399.003) / (578.379 / 7460.454)
=0.105819 / 0.077526
=1.3649

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4011.822 + 168.827) / 295074.188) / ((6454.896 + 789.582) / 298163.666)
=0.014168 / 0.024297
=0.5831

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(184.135 - 0 - -945.877) / 295074.188
=0.00383

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

JiLin JiuTai Rural Commercial Bank has a M-score of -2.62 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


JiLin JiuTai Rural Commercial Bank Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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JiLin JiuTai Rural Commercial Bank (HKSE:06122) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 2559 Wei Shan Road, High and New Technology Development Zone, Jilin Province, Changchun, CHN
JiLin JiuTai Rural Commercial Bank Corp Ltd is engaged in the provision of banking services. The company's operating segment includes Corporate banking; Retail banking; Treasury operations and Others. The bank offers loan business, deposits, certificates of deposits, and other related services. It generates maximum revenue from the Corporate banking segment. Geographically, the firm operates in Mainland China.