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Sinotruk (Hong Kong) (HKSE:03808) Beneish M-Score : -2.33 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.33 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sinotruk (Hong Kong)'s Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:03808' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.23   Med: -2.55   Max: -1.81
Current: -2.33

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Sinotruk (Hong Kong) was -1.81. The lowest was -3.23. And the median was -2.55.


Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sinotruk (Hong Kong)'s Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Beneish M-Score Chart

Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.72 -2.62 -1.81 -3.23 -2.33

Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.81 - -3.23 - -2.33

Competitive Comparison of Sinotruk (Hong Kong)'s Beneish M-Score

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Sinotruk (Hong Kong)'s Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sinotruk (Hong Kong)'s Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Sinotruk (Hong Kong)'s Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sinotruk (Hong Kong)'s Beneish M-Score falls into.



Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Sinotruk (Hong Kong) for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7135+0.528 * 1.0117+0.404 * 1.6099+0.892 * 1.4097+0.115 * 0.9696
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7779+4.679 * -0.04968-0.327 * 1.0265
=-2.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$19,348 Mil.
Revenue was HK$93,516 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$15,571 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$95,232 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$133,206 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$17,317 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$1,720 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$9,484 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$79,332 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$156 Mil.
Net Income was HK$5,817 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$12,434 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$19,236 Mil.
Revenue was HK$66,339 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$11,174 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$89,282 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$117,972 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$17,326 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$1,663 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$8,648 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$68,583 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(19348.306 / 93515.945) / (19236.361 / 66338.772)
=0.206898 / 0.289972
=0.7135

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(11174.49 / 66338.772) / (15570.525 / 93515.945)
=0.168446 / 0.166501
=1.0117

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (95231.791 + 17316.556) / 133206.395) / (1 - (89282.317 + 17325.875) / 117972.282)
=0.155083 / 0.096328
=1.6099

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=93515.945 / 66338.772
=1.4097

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1663.457 / (1663.457 + 17325.875)) / (1719.96 / (1719.96 + 17316.556))
=0.0876 / 0.090351
=0.9696

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(9484.289 / 93515.945) / (8648.357 / 66338.772)
=0.101419 / 0.130367
=0.7779

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((156.113 + 79331.849) / 133206.395) / ((0.16 + 68582.773) / 117972.282)
=0.596728 / 0.581348
=1.0265

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5816.833 - 0 - 12434.467) / 133206.395
=-0.04968

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Sinotruk (Hong Kong) has a M-score of -2.33 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Sinotruk (Hong Kong) (HKSE:03808) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 777 Hua’ao Road, Sinotruk Tower, Innovation Zone, Gaoxin District, Shandong Province, Ji’nan, CHN, 250101
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Ltd is an investment holding company. The company manages its business in four segments: Heavy Duty Trucks, which includes manufacture and sale of heavy-duty trucks, medium-heavy duty trucks, and related components; Light Duty Trucks & Others, which manufacture and sell of light-duty trucks, buses, etc. and related components; Engines segment manufactures engines & related parts; and Finance Segment. The vast majority of its revenue comes from the Heavy-duty trucks segment. Its geographical segments are Mainland China and Overseas.

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