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Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co (HKSE:02517) Beneish M-Score : -3.83 (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.83 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02517' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.83   Med: -2.8   Max: -1.76
Current: -3.83

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co was -1.76. The lowest was -3.83. And the median was -2.80.


Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - -1.76 -3.83

Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score - - -1.76 -3.83

Competitive Comparison of Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.3228+0.528 * 0.7854+0.404 * 0.9083+0.892 * 0.8321+0.115 * 0.8407
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2318+4.679 * -0.094313-0.327 * 0.7882
=-3.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$65 Mil.
Revenue was HK$6,666 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,478 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$3,145 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$5,088 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$655 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$88 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,177 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,277 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$22 Mil.
Net Income was HK$262 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$742 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$243 Mil.
Revenue was HK$8,011 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,395 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,690 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$4,557 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$597 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$66 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,148 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,455 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$22 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(65.345 / 6665.602) / (243.268 / 8010.705)
=0.009803 / 0.030368
=0.3228

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1394.733 / 8010.705) / (1477.631 / 6665.602)
=0.174109 / 0.22168
=0.7854

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3144.935 + 654.962) / 5087.872) / (1 - (2690.197 + 596.657) / 4556.944)
=0.253146 / 0.278715
=0.9083

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6665.602 / 8010.705
=0.8321

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(66.258 / (66.258 + 596.657)) / (88.37 / (88.37 + 654.962))
=0.099949 / 0.118884
=0.8407

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1176.966 / 6665.602) / (1148.276 / 8010.705)
=0.176573 / 0.143343
=1.2318

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((22.205 + 1277.411) / 5087.872) / ((21.671 + 1455.098) / 4556.944)
=0.255434 / 0.32407
=0.7882

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(262.109 - 0 - 741.961) / 5087.872
=-0.094313

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co has a M-score of -3.83 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co (HKSE:02517) Business Description

Comparable Companies
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Lane 187, Xinghong Road, Room 802, No. 3, Minhang, Shanghai, CHN
Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co Ltd is the leading and rapidly growing home meal products brand in China. It offers a variety of ready-to-eat, ready-to-heat, ready-to-cook and prepared ingredients, with a focus on at-home hotpot and barbecue products. With a carefully curated product portfolio and an extensive network of community-based stores, it enables consumers to enjoy meals at home with convenience, affordability and tastiness. Leveraging its robust supply chain and production capabilities, The company offers a wide variety of home meal products under the Guoquan Shihui brand through a nationwide network of 9,844 retail stores in China, serving diverse dining scenarios.

Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Co (HKSE:02517) Headlines

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