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Fosun Tourism Group (HKSE:01992) Beneish M-Score : -3.00 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Fosun Tourism Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fosun Tourism Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01992' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.03   Med: -2.8   Max: -0.79
Current: -3

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Fosun Tourism Group was -0.79. The lowest was -3.03. And the median was -2.80.


Fosun Tourism Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fosun Tourism Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fosun Tourism Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Fosun Tourism Group Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -3.01 -2.12 -3.03 -2.80 -3.00

Fosun Tourism Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.03 - -2.80 - -3.00

Competitive Comparison of Fosun Tourism Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Fosun Tourism Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fosun Tourism Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Fosun Tourism Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fosun Tourism Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Fosun Tourism Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Fosun Tourism Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7719+0.528 * 0.8878+0.404 * 1.0892+0.892 * 1.2193+0.115 * 0.9609
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9438+4.679 * -0.104995-0.327 * 1.0033
=-3.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$3,804 Mil.
Revenue was HK$18,760 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$6,120 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$9,365 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$42,245 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$25,386 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$2,187 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$4,498 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$17,625 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$20,948 Mil.
Net Income was HK$336 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$4,771 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$4,042 Mil.
Revenue was HK$15,386 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$4,456 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$10,561 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$42,357 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$24,898 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$2,054 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$3,909 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$16,327 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$22,221 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3804.463 / 18760.322) / (4042.23 / 15385.772)
=0.202793 / 0.262725
=0.7719

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4456.083 / 15385.772) / (6119.905 / 18760.322)
=0.289624 / 0.326215
=0.8878

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9365.308 + 25386.204) / 42244.855) / (1 - (10561.448 + 24897.612) / 42357.005)
=0.177379 / 0.162853
=1.0892

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=18760.322 / 15385.772
=1.2193

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2053.78 / (2053.78 + 24897.612)) / (2186.513 / (2186.513 + 25386.204))
=0.076203 / 0.0793
=0.9609

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4498.426 / 18760.322) / (3909.067 / 15385.772)
=0.239784 / 0.25407
=0.9438

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((20948.468 + 17624.511) / 42244.855) / ((22221.301 + 16327.317) / 42357.005)
=0.913081 / 0.910088
=1.0033

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(336.008 - 0 - 4771.492) / 42244.855
=-0.104995

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Fosun Tourism Group has a M-score of -3.00 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Fosun Tourism Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Fosun Tourism Group (HKSE:01992) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3 Garden Road, Room 808 & 2101-06, ICBC Tower, Central, Hong Kong, HKG, 210010
Fosun Tourism Group is primarily engaged in providing pioneering and family-focused tourism and leisure solutions. The principal business activities of the group are resort; tourism destinations; and services and solutions in various tourism and leisure settings.

Fosun Tourism Group (HKSE:01992) Headlines

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