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China Chunlai Education Group Co (HKSE:01969) Beneish M-Score : -2.21 (As of May. 13, 2024)


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What is China Chunlai Education Group Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.21 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Chunlai Education Group Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01969' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.92   Med: -2.41   Max: -1.75
Current: -2.21

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Chunlai Education Group Co was -1.75. The lowest was -3.92. And the median was -2.41.


China Chunlai Education Group Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Chunlai Education Group Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Chunlai Education Group Co Beneish M-Score Chart

China Chunlai Education Group Co Annual Data
Trend Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -2.17 -1.75 -2.41 -2.63 -2.21

China Chunlai Education Group Co Semi-Annual Data
Aug15 Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.63 - -2.21 -

Competitive Comparison of China Chunlai Education Group Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, China Chunlai Education Group Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Chunlai Education Group Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Education Industry

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, China Chunlai Education Group Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Chunlai Education Group Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



China Chunlai Education Group Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Chunlai Education Group Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4488+0.528 * 1.0627+0.404 * 0.9212+0.892 * 1.0707+0.115 * 1.0353
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7709+4.679 * -0.060366-0.327 * 0.8893
=-2.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Aug23) TTM:Last Year (Aug22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$247 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,617 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$961 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,577 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$6,972 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$3,260 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$243 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$194 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$2,643 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$791 Mil.
Net Income was HK$739 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$1,160 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$159 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,511 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$954 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,288 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$6,773 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$3,234 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$250 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$235 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$3,327 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$423 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(247.027 / 1617.347) / (159.249 / 1510.523)
=0.152736 / 0.105426
=1.4488

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(953.832 / 1510.523) / (960.991 / 1617.347)
=0.631458 / 0.594177
=1.0627

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1577.131 + 3260.006) / 6972.478) / (1 - (1287.701 + 3233.644) / 6773.183)
=0.306253 / 0.332464
=0.9212

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1617.347 / 1510.523
=1.0707

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(249.818 / (249.818 + 3233.644)) / (242.618 / (242.618 + 3260.006))
=0.071715 / 0.069267
=1.0353

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(193.792 / 1617.347) / (234.778 / 1510.523)
=0.119821 / 0.155428
=0.7709

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((790.514 + 2643.263) / 6972.478) / ((423.393 + 3327.444) / 6773.183)
=0.492476 / 0.553778
=0.8893

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(738.938 - 0 - 1159.842) / 6972.478
=-0.060366

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Chunlai Education Group Co has a M-score of -2.21 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


China Chunlai Education Group Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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China Chunlai Education Group Co (HKSE:01969) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 66, Beihai East Road, Henan Province, Shangqiu, CHN, 476000
China Chunlai Education Group Co Ltd is an investment holding company. The company through its subsidiaries is engaged in the operation of private higher education institutions. It generates revenue from tuition fees and Boarding fees. Geographically, it derives revenue from China.

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