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Pacific Millennium Packaging Group (HKSE:01820) Beneish M-Score : -2.99 (As of May. 03, 2024)


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What is Pacific Millennium Packaging Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.99 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Pacific Millennium Packaging Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01820' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.16   Med: -2.47   Max: -2.12
Current: -2.99

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Pacific Millennium Packaging Group was -2.12. The lowest was -3.16. And the median was -2.47.


Pacific Millennium Packaging Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Pacific Millennium Packaging Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Pacific Millennium Packaging Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Pacific Millennium Packaging Group Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -2.63 -2.47 -2.12 -3.16 -2.99

Pacific Millennium Packaging Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.12 - -3.16 - -2.99

Competitive Comparison of Pacific Millennium Packaging Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Pacific Millennium Packaging Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pacific Millennium Packaging Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Pacific Millennium Packaging Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pacific Millennium Packaging Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Pacific Millennium Packaging Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Pacific Millennium Packaging Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9933+0.528 * 0.9104+0.404 * 1.1757+0.892 * 0.9003+0.115 * 0.8939
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1059+4.679 * -0.087359-0.327 * 1.0091
=-2.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$601 Mil.
Revenue was HK$2,190 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$373 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$957 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$1,818 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$841 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$117 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$308 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$826 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$351 Mil.
Net Income was HK$25 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$183 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$672 Mil.
Revenue was HK$2,433 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$378 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$968 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$1,879 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$893 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$110 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$310 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$888 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$318 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(600.859 / 2190.189) / (671.884 / 2432.661)
=0.274341 / 0.276193
=0.9933

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(377.607 / 2432.661) / (373.436 / 2190.189)
=0.155224 / 0.170504
=0.9104

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (956.745 + 840.647) / 1817.671) / (1 - (967.906 + 893.356) / 1879.095)
=0.011157 / 0.00949
=1.1757

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2190.189 / 2432.661
=0.9003

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(109.914 / (109.914 + 893.356)) / (117.427 / (117.427 + 840.647))
=0.109556 / 0.122566
=0.8939

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(308.379 / 2190.189) / (309.719 / 2432.661)
=0.1408 / 0.127317
=1.1059

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((351.025 + 826.367) / 1817.671) / ((318.483 + 887.74) / 1879.095)
=0.647748 / 0.641917
=1.0091

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(24.516 - 0 - 183.306) / 1817.671
=-0.087359

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Pacific Millennium Packaging Group has a M-score of -2.99 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Pacific Millennium Packaging Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Pacific Millennium Packaging Group (HKSE:01820) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 398, Tian Lin Road, A303, 3rd Floor, Block 2, Shanghai, CHN, 200233
Pacific Millennium Packaging Group Corp is an investment holding company engaged in the manufacture and sale of packaging materials. Its product offering includes; Corrugated packaging products like corrugated boxes, pallets, display stands, heavy-duty packaging, specialized packaging products; and Corrugated sheet boards. It caters to different industries such as Food and beverage, Paper and packaging, Non-food-and-beverage-consumables, Supplier chain solutions, E-commerce, Home electronics, and Others include home furniture, computer, and electronic device such as mobile phones, cameras, textiles, machinery, medical products, etc. The company generates the majority of its revenue from China.

Pacific Millennium Packaging Group (HKSE:01820) Headlines

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