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Central China Securities Co (HKSE:01375) Beneish M-Score : -2.50 (As of May. 11, 2024)


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What is Central China Securities Co Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.5 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Central China Securities Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01375' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.32   Med: -2.48   Max: 0.57
Current: -2.5

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Central China Securities Co was 0.57. The lowest was -3.32. And the median was -2.48.


Central China Securities Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Central China Securities Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9988+0.892 * 1.1055+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8321+4.679 * -0.03919-0.327 * 1.0014
=-2.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$0 Mil.
Revenue was 691.101 + 557.723 + 465.095 + 652.476 = HK$2,366 Mil.
Gross Profit was 691.101 + 557.723 + 465.095 + 652.476 = HK$2,366 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$0 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$53,266 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$567 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,541 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$12,534 Mil.
Net Income was 142.077 + 4.131 + 43.49 + 105.862 = HK$296 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 816.917 + 792.164 + -673.039 + 1447.021 = HK$2,383 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$0 Mil.
Revenue was 513.846 + 478.624 + 699.381 + 448.679 = HK$2,141 Mil.
Gross Profit was 513.846 + 478.624 + 699.381 + 448.679 = HK$2,141 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$0 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$61,291 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$579 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,675 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$14,403 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 2366.395) / (0 / 2140.53)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2140.53 / 2140.53) / (2366.395 / 2366.395)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 566.798) / 53266.23) / (1 - (0 + 579.202) / 61290.923)
=0.989359 / 0.99055
=0.9988

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2366.395 / 2140.53
=1.1055

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 579.202)) / (0 / (0 + 566.798))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1540.587 / 2366.395) / (1674.685 / 2140.53)
=0.651027 / 0.782369
=0.8321

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((12534.309 + 0) / 53266.23) / ((14402.742 + 0) / 61290.923)
=0.235314 / 0.23499
=1.0014

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(295.56 - 0 - 2383.063) / 53266.23
=-0.03919

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Central China Securities Co has a M-score of -2.54 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Central China Securities Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Central China Securities Co (HKSE:01375) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 248 Queen’s Road East, 40th Floor, Dah Sing Financial Centre, Wanchai, Hong Kong, HKG
Central China Securities Co Ltd is a securities firm in Henan with a full-service business platform and strategic presence in China. Its principal business lines include a brokerage, which is engaged in the trading of stocks, funds, and bonds; margin financing, securities lending, and wealth management services; investment banking, which provides investment banking services including equity financing, debt financing, and financial advisory to institutional clients; investment management, which consists of asset management, direct investment, and fund management; the proprietary trading segment, which is engaged in the trading of securities and derivatives and Other business. Overseas business engage in brokerage, margin financing and Other businesses consist of the treasury function.