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Vacasa (FRA:W5Q0) Beneish M-Score : -0.98 (As of Jun. 05, 2024)


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What is Vacasa Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -0.98 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vacasa's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:W5Q0' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.01   Med: -2.67   Max: -0.98
Current: -0.98

During the past 5 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Vacasa was -0.98. The lowest was -3.01. And the median was -2.67.


Vacasa Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Vacasa's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Vacasa Beneish M-Score Chart

Vacasa Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - - -2.76 -1.47

Vacasa Quarterly Data
Dec19 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.89 -2.75 -1.71 -1.47 -0.98

Competitive Comparison of Vacasa's Beneish M-Score

For the Software - Application subindustry, Vacasa's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vacasa's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Vacasa's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vacasa's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Vacasa Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Vacasa for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8769+0.528 * 0.9918+0.404 * 0.6299+0.892 * 0.8581+0.115 * 1.0071
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8892+4.679 * 0.463279-0.327 * 1.7501
=-0.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €10.9 Mil.
Revenue was 192.714 + 162.712 + 355.195 + 281.126 = €991.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 95.435 + 68.624 + 213.906 + 149.944 = €527.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €325.8 Mil.
Total Assets was €601.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €50.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €65.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €260.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €508.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €16.5 Mil.
Net Income was -78.828 + -39.979 + -213.816 + -2.881 = €-335.5 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -77.21 + 0.475 + -426.501 + 1.492 = €-501.7 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 85.401 + -73.49 + -262.951 + 138.847 = €-112.2 Mil.
Total Receivables was €14.4 Mil.
Revenue was 239.902 + 205.941 + 416.306 + 293.589 = €1,155.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 123.963 + 96.062 + 240.442 + 149.708 = €610.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €475.1 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,319.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €60.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €79.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €341.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €639.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €18.8 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10.873 / 991.747) / (14.449 / 1155.738)
=0.010963 / 0.012502
=0.8769

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(610.175 / 1155.738) / (527.909 / 991.747)
=0.527953 / 0.532302
=0.9918

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (325.766 + 50.215) / 601.005) / (1 - (475.129 + 60.001) / 1319.268)
=0.374413 / 0.594374
=0.6299

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=991.747 / 1155.738
=0.8581

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(79.412 / (79.412 + 60.001)) / (65.388 / (65.388 + 50.215))
=0.569617 / 0.565625
=1.0071

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(260.642 / 991.747) / (341.607 / 1155.738)
=0.262811 / 0.295575
=0.8892

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((16.527 + 508.264) / 601.005) / ((18.84 + 639.373) / 1319.268)
=0.873189 / 0.498923
=1.7501

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-335.504 - -501.744 - -112.193) / 601.005
=0.463279

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Vacasa has a M-score of -0.93 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Vacasa (FRA:W5Q0) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
850 NW 13th Avenue, Portland, OR, USA, 97209
Vacasa Inc is a vacation rental management platform in North America, transforming the vacation rental experience by integrating purpose-built technology with expert local and national teams.

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