Raymond James Financial Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Raymond James Financial for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.9433 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 0.9519 | + | 0.892 * 1.0481 | + | 0.115 * 1.0406 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 0.9757 | + | 4.679 * 0.019794 | - | 0.327 * 0.826 |
| = | -2.35 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Dec23) TTM: | Last Year (Dec22) TTM: |
Total Receivables was €3,633 Mil.
Revenue was 2726.241 + 2822.244 + 2646.241 + 2649.758 = €10,844 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2726.241 + 2822.244 + 2646.241 + 2649.758 = €10,844 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €21,408 Mil.
Total Assets was €73,479 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,038 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €155 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €7,136 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €7,063 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,878 Mil.
Net Income was 456.666 + 406.658 + 340.587 + 398.818 = €1,603 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 497.931 + 406.658 + -173.524 + -582.816 = €148 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was €3,675 Mil.
Revenue was 2597.888 + 2822.95 + 2535.28 + 2390.764 = €10,347 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2597.888 + 2822.95 + 2535.28 + 2390.764 = €10,347 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €18,751 Mil.
Total Assets was €72,732 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €916 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €143 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €6,978 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €8,903 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €3,009 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (3633.154 / 10844.484) | / | (3674.992 / 10346.882) |
| = | 0.335023 | / | 0.355179 |
| | = | 0.9433 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (10346.882 / 10346.882) | / | (10844.484 / 10844.484) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (21408.282 + 1038.044) / 73479.21) | / | (1 - (18750.672 + 915.68) / 72732.368) |
| = | 0.694521 | / | 0.729607 |
| | = | 0.9519 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 10844.484 | / | 10346.882 |
| | = | 1.0481 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (143.088 / (143.088 + 915.68)) | / | (154.928 / (154.928 + 1038.044)) |
| = | 0.135146 | / | 0.129867 |
| | = | 1.0406 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (7136.052 / 10844.484) | / | (6978.142 / 10346.882) |
| = | 0.658035 | / | 0.67442 |
| | = | 0.9757 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((2877.546 + 7062.734) / 73479.21) | / | ((3009.472 + 8902.864) / 72732.368) |
| = | 0.13528 | / | 0.163783 |
| | = | 0.826 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (1602.729 - 0 | - | 148.249) | / | 73479.21 |
| | = | 0.019794 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Raymond James Financial has a M-score of -2.35 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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