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PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk (FRA:CK8) Beneish M-Score : -10.42 (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -10.42 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:CK8' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -10.49   Med: -2.78   Max: -1.34
Current: -10.42

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk was -1.34. The lowest was -10.49. And the median was -2.78.


PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - -1.34 -10.49

PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Quarterly Data
Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.78 -2.66 -10.49 -10.42

Competitive Comparison of PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Beneish M-Score

For the Software - Application subindustry, PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.



PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 2.0358+0.528 * 0.9012+0.404 * 0.4941+0.892 * 1.1207+0.115 * 0.8997
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.3549+4.679 * -1.78079-0.327 * 2.6851
=-10.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €278.2 Mil.
Revenue was 242.647 + 254.279 + 218.896 + 218.139 = €934.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was 131.865 + 175.923 + 146.426 + 143.073 = €597.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,729.1 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,839.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €44.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €139.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €624.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €547.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €192.0 Mil.
Net Income was -51.27 + -4809.078 + -144.061 + -202.664 = €-5,207.1 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -4.858 + -6.789 + -66.575 + -72.302 = €-150.5 Mil.
Total Receivables was €121.9 Mil.
Revenue was 206.645 + 202.847 + 302.656 + 121.22 = €833.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was 122.743 + 105.371 + 210.933 + 41.25 = €480.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,941.8 Mil.
Total Assets was €8,430.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €84.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €180.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,569.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €715.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €102.8 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(278.228 / 933.961) / (121.945 / 833.368)
=0.297901 / 0.146328
=2.0358

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(480.297 / 833.368) / (597.287 / 933.961)
=0.576332 / 0.63952
=0.9012

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1729.06 + 44.576) / 2839.497) / (1 - (1941.842 + 84.413) / 8430.869)
=0.37537 / 0.759662
=0.4941

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=933.961 / 833.368
=1.1207

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(180.364 / (180.364 + 84.413)) / (138.98 / (138.98 + 44.576))
=0.681192 / 0.757153
=0.8997

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(624.296 / 933.961) / (1569.645 / 833.368)
=0.668439 / 1.883496
=0.3549

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((192.029 + 547.888) / 2839.497) / ((102.792 + 715.382) / 8430.869)
=0.26058 / 0.097045
=2.6851

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-5207.073 - 0 - -150.524) / 2839.497
=-1.78079

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk has a M-score of -10.46 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk (FRA:CK8) Business Description

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Address
Jalan Iskandarsyah II No. 2, Gedung Pasaraya Blok M, 6-7th Floor, Jakarta, IDN, 12160
GoTo is an Indonesian ecosystem that combines e-commerce, ride-hailing, delivery, and financial services under one app. The company operates primarily in Indonesia and is the product of a merger between Gojek and Tokopedia in May 2021. The company has 64 million active paying users and 12 million merchants as of 2022 on its platform. In 2022, on-demand accounted for 55% of revenue, e-commerce for 37%, and financial services for 8%. However, 82% of nonfinancial services gross transactional value comes from e-commerce, as it is the focal point in the ecosystem. The company competes with giants such as Sea-backed Shopee, Alibaba's Lazada, and smaller peers such as Bukalapak in e-commerce—and with Grab in the ride-hailing and delivery business.

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