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Smurfit Kappa Group (DUB:SK3) Beneish M-Score : -2.90 (As of May. 17, 2024)


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What is Smurfit Kappa Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.9 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Smurfit Kappa Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

DUB:SK3' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.34   Med: -2.7   Max: -2.24
Current: -2.9

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Smurfit Kappa Group was -2.24. The lowest was -3.34. And the median was -2.70.


Smurfit Kappa Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Smurfit Kappa Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Smurfit Kappa Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Smurfit Kappa Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.85 -2.88 -2.24 -2.57 -2.90

Smurfit Kappa Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.24 - -2.57 - -2.90

Competitive Comparison of Smurfit Kappa Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Smurfit Kappa Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Smurfit Kappa Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Smurfit Kappa Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Smurfit Kappa Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Smurfit Kappa Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Smurfit Kappa Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.981+0.528 * 0.9437+0.404 * 1.0109+0.892 * 0.8796+0.115 * 1.0826
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1288+4.679 * -0.060105-0.327 * 0.9343
=-2.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €1,963 Mil.
Revenue was €11,272 Mil.
Gross Profit was €3,787 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €4,081 Mil.
Total Assets was €12,628 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €5,482 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €635 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,384 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,694 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €3,570 Mil.
Net Income was €758 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €1,517 Mil.
Total Receivables was €2,275 Mil.
Revenue was €12,815 Mil.
Gross Profit was €4,063 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €4,509 Mil.
Total Assets was €12,482 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €4,976 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €630 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,401 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €3,027 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €3,600 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1963 / 11272) / (2275 / 12815)
=0.174148 / 0.177526
=0.981

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4063 / 12815) / (3787 / 11272)
=0.31705 / 0.335965
=0.9437

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4081 + 5482) / 12628) / (1 - (4509 + 4976) / 12482)
=0.242715 / 0.240106
=1.0109

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11272 / 12815
=0.8796

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(630 / (630 + 4976)) / (635 / (635 + 5482))
=0.11238 / 0.103809
=1.0826

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2384 / 11272) / (2401 / 12815)
=0.211498 / 0.187359
=1.1288

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3570 + 2694) / 12628) / ((3600 + 3027) / 12482)
=0.496041 / 0.530925
=0.9343

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(758 - 0 - 1517) / 12628
=-0.060105

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Smurfit Kappa Group has a M-score of -2.90 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Smurfit Kappa Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Smurfit Kappa Group (DUB:SK3) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Beech Hill, Clonskeagh, Dublin 4, IRL, D04 N2R2
Smurfit Kappa Group PLC manufactures and sells paper-based packaging products. The company owns mills that produce containerboard, which is then shipped to the company's plants, where it is converted into corrugated packaging products. The packaging products include solid board, sack kraft paper, and folding cartons. The firm organizes itself into two segments based on geography: Europe and the Americas. The Europe segment generates the majority of the revenue. The Americas segment owns forestland in Latin America, where Smurfit Kappa harvests timber for its mills.

Smurfit Kappa Group (DUB:SK3) Headlines

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