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Metalurgica Gerdau (BSP:GOAU3) Beneish M-Score : -2.65 (As of May. 07, 2024)


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What is Metalurgica Gerdau Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Metalurgica Gerdau's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:GOAU3' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.11   Med: -2.61   Max: -2.48
Current: -2.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Metalurgica Gerdau was -2.48. The lowest was -3.11. And the median was -2.61.


Metalurgica Gerdau Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Metalurgica Gerdau's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Metalurgica Gerdau Beneish M-Score Chart

Metalurgica Gerdau Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.59 -2.59 -2.68 -2.56 -

Metalurgica Gerdau Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.99 -2.56 -2.47 -2.65 -

Competitive Comparison of Metalurgica Gerdau's Beneish M-Score

For the Steel subindustry, Metalurgica Gerdau's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Metalurgica Gerdau's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Metalurgica Gerdau's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Metalurgica Gerdau's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Metalurgica Gerdau Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Metalurgica Gerdau for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8704+0.528 * 1.3778+0.404 * 1.0782+0.892 * 0.8849+0.115 * 1.0213
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1852+4.679 * -0.042203-0.327 * 0.8481
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$5,597 Mil.
Revenue was 18265.37 + 18872.303 + 17964.045 + 21149.232 = R$76,251 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3278.341 + 3628.675 + 2928.267 + 4737.854 = R$14,573 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$30,316 Mil.
Total Assets was R$73,795 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$22,063 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$2,974 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$2,284 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$10,311 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$10,608 Mil.
Net Income was 2135.909 + 3205.919 + 393.899 + 1007.092 = R$6,743 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = R$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3216.837 + 1963.686 + 1205.491 + 3471.205 = R$9,857 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$7,266 Mil.
Revenue was 22968.442 + 20330.491 + 21554.924 + 21317.057 = R$86,171 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5903.931 + 5181.002 + 5187.115 + 6419.149 = R$22,691 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$37,420 Mil.
Total Assets was R$78,352 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$19,842 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$2,739 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$2,178 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$16,567 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$9,620 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5596.559 / 76250.95) / (7266.38 / 86170.914)
=0.073397 / 0.084325
=0.8704

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(22691.197 / 86170.914) / (14573.137 / 76250.95)
=0.263328 / 0.191121
=1.3778

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (30316.106 + 22063.461) / 73795.457) / (1 - (37420.181 + 19842.422) / 78352.342)
=0.290206 / 0.269165
=1.0782

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=76250.95 / 86170.914
=0.8849

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2739.251 / (2739.251 + 19842.422)) / (2973.906 / (2973.906 + 22063.461))
=0.121304 / 0.118779
=1.0213

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2284.253 / 76250.95) / (2178.077 / 86170.914)
=0.029957 / 0.025276
=1.1852

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((10607.522 + 10310.529) / 73795.457) / ((9619.642 + 16566.704) / 78352.342)
=0.28346 / 0.334213
=0.8481

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6742.819 - 0 - 9857.219) / 73795.457
=-0.042203

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Metalurgica Gerdau has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Metalurgica Gerdau Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Metalurgica Gerdau (BSP:GOAU3) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Avenida Farrapos, 1811, Porto Alegre, RS, BRA, 90220005
Metalurgica Gerdau SA produces steel and steel products used in construction, industrial, agricultural and automotive sectors. Its products include steel columns, nails, transfer bars for the construction sector; billet, electrodes, mechanical construction wire rods for the industrial sector; staples, steel posts, tribars, galvanized wires for agricultural sector; mechanical construction ingots, mechanical construction wires, and various other products for the automotive sector. Its revenue is generated by sales of long steel to nonresidential construction and infrastructure sector in North America.

Metalurgica Gerdau (BSP:GOAU3) Headlines

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