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Churchill Downs (BSP:C2HD34) Beneish M-Score : -2.34 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Churchill Downs Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.34 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Churchill Downs's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:C2HD34' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.5   Med: -2.59   Max: -0.99
Current: -2.34

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Churchill Downs was -0.99. The lowest was -3.50. And the median was -2.59.


Churchill Downs Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Churchill Downs's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Churchill Downs Beneish M-Score Chart

Churchill Downs Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.56 -1.92 -2.69 -2.80 -2.55

Churchill Downs Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.99 -2.21 -2.02 -2.55 -2.34

Competitive Comparison of Churchill Downs's Beneish M-Score

For the Gambling subindustry, Churchill Downs's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Churchill Downs's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Churchill Downs's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Churchill Downs's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Churchill Downs Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Churchill Downs for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2592+0.528 * 0.9897+0.404 * 0.9302+0.892 * 1.1799+0.115 * 0.9341
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9106+4.679 * -0.059988-0.327 * 1.0023
=-2.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$573 Mil.
Revenue was 2942.564 + 2749.768 + 2827.406 + 3730.068 = R$12,250 Mil.
Gross Profit was 922.259 + 788.868 + 809.947 + 1449.8 = R$3,971 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$2,072 Mil.
Total Assets was R$35,191 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$13,289 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$902 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$1,008 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$4,169 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$24,196 Mil.
Net Income was 400.376 + 282.228 + 301.261 + 694.079 = R$1,678 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 208.156 + 162.673 + 177.299 + 66.981 = R$615 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1268.355 + 521.829 + 475.103 + 908.613 = R$3,174 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$385 Mil.
Revenue was 2914.212 + 2518.317 + 2008.823 + 2940.285 = R$10,382 Mil.
Gross Profit was 895.879 + 688.721 + 537.993 + 1207.915 = R$3,331 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$1,966 Mil.
Total Assets was R$32,676 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$10,914 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$689 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$938 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$3,617 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$22,661 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(572.677 / 12249.806) / (385.436 / 10381.637)
=0.04675 / 0.037127
=1.2592

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3330.508 / 10381.637) / (3970.874 / 12249.806)
=0.320808 / 0.324158
=0.9897

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2071.597 + 13288.596) / 35191.251) / (1 - (1966.247 + 10914.1) / 32676.152)
=0.563522 / 0.605818
=0.9302

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12249.806 / 10381.637
=1.1799

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(689.101 / (689.101 + 10914.1)) / (902.188 / (902.188 + 13288.596))
=0.059389 / 0.063576
=0.9341

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1007.599 / 12249.806) / (937.734 / 10381.637)
=0.082254 / 0.090326
=0.9106

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((24196.35 + 4169.089) / 35191.251) / ((22661.056 + 3616.852) / 32676.152)
=0.806037 / 0.804192
=1.0023

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1677.944 - 615.109 - 3173.9) / 35191.251
=-0.059988

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Churchill Downs has a M-score of -2.39 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Churchill Downs Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Churchill Downs (BSP:C2HD34) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
600 North Hurstbourne Parkway, Suite 400, Louisville, KY, USA, 40222
Churchill Downs Inc is a gaming entertainment, online wagering, and racing company. It operates through three business segments: Live and Historical Racing, TwinSpires, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment includes live and historical pari-mutuel racing. The TwinSpires segment includes the revenue and expenses for online horse racing and the online and retail sports betting and iGaming wagering business. The company generates more than half of its revenue from the Gaming segment includes revenue from casino properties and associated racetrack or jai alai facilities which support the casino license as applicable.

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