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Ramkrishna Forgings (BOM:532527) Beneish M-Score : -1.60 (As of Jun. 08, 2024)


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What is Ramkrishna Forgings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.6 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ramkrishna Forgings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BOM:532527' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.39   Med: -2.48   Max: -1.48
Current: -1.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ramkrishna Forgings was -1.48. The lowest was -3.39. And the median was -2.48.


Ramkrishna Forgings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ramkrishna Forgings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ramkrishna Forgings Beneish M-Score Chart

Ramkrishna Forgings Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.39 -2.37 -1.48 -3.11 -1.60

Ramkrishna Forgings Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.11 - - - -1.60

Competitive Comparison of Ramkrishna Forgings's Beneish M-Score

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, Ramkrishna Forgings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ramkrishna Forgings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Ramkrishna Forgings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ramkrishna Forgings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Ramkrishna Forgings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ramkrishna Forgings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8804+0.528 * 1.0082+0.404 * 2.8542+0.892 * 1.2387+0.115 * 1.0977
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0+4.679 * -0.052682-0.327 * 0.7488
=-1.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₹8,508 Mil.
Revenue was ₹39,549 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹17,131 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹23,738 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹53,080 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹25,172 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹2,576 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹15,532 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹8,423 Mil.
Net Income was ₹3,414 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₹6,211 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₹7,802 Mil.
Revenue was ₹31,929 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹13,944 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹18,504 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹37,304 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹17,774 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹2,016 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹1,901 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹14,702 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹7,781 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(8507.665 / 39548.826) / (7801.668 / 31928.951)
=0.215118 / 0.244345
=0.8804

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(13944.436 / 31928.951) / (17130.989 / 39548.826)
=0.436733 / 0.43316
=1.0082

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (23737.598 + 25172.358) / 53080.296) / (1 - (18503.946 + 17773.537) / 37304.369)
=0.078567 / 0.027527
=2.8542

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=39548.826 / 31928.951
=1.2387

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2016.397 / (2016.397 + 17773.537)) / (2575.703 / (2575.703 + 25172.358))
=0.10189 / 0.092825
=1.0977

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 39548.826) / (1900.747 / 31928.951)
=0 / 0.059531
=0

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8422.878 + 15532.043) / 53080.296) / ((7781.259 + 14702.065) / 37304.369)
=0.451296 / 0.602699
=0.7488

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3414.152 - 0 - 6210.554) / 53080.296
=-0.052682

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ramkrishna Forgings has a M-score of -1.60 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Ramkrishna Forgings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Ramkrishna Forgings (BOM:532527) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
23, Circus Avenue, 9th Floor, Kolkata, WB, IND, 700 017
Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd is an Indian based company, engages in the manufacture of forgings and production of metal products. Its product portfolio includes engine components, front and rear axle components, transmission components, crown wheels and bellcrank assemblies, and others. Its forgings are used in various industries and sectors, including automotive, earth moving and mining, farm equipment, general engineering, railways, steel plants and other. Geographically the company caters its services to both domestic and overseas market.

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