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Timex Group India (BOM:500414) Beneish M-Score : 1.85 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Timex Group India Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 1.85 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Timex Group India's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BOM:500414' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.14   Med: -2.7   Max: 1.85
Current: 1.85

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Timex Group India was 1.85. The lowest was -4.14. And the median was -2.70.


Timex Group India Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Timex Group India's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Timex Group India Beneish M-Score Chart

Timex Group India Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.41 -2.84 -4.14 -1.44 1.85

Timex Group India Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 1.85 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Timex Group India's Beneish M-Score

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Timex Group India's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Timex Group India's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Timex Group India's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Timex Group India's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Timex Group India Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Timex Group India for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7382+0.528 * 1.0181+0.404 * 8.7801+0.892 * 1.4499+0.115 * 0.9795
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7106+4.679 * 0.188812-0.327 * 0.7447
=1.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₹569 Mil.
Revenue was ₹3,835 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹1,652 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹1,592 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹1,943 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹166 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹36 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹381 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹1,083 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹96 Mil.
Net Income was ₹465 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₹98 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₹531 Mil.
Revenue was ₹2,645 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹1,160 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹1,121 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹1,304 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹168 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹36 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹370 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹961 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹101 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(568.6 / 3834.5) / (531.2 / 2644.6)
=0.148285 / 0.200862
=0.7382

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1160.1 / 2644.6) / (1652.2 / 3834.5)
=0.438667 / 0.430878
=1.0181

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1591.8 + 165.6) / 1943.2) / (1 - (1121.4 + 168.4) / 1304)
=0.095615 / 0.01089
=8.7801

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3834.5 / 2644.6
=1.4499

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(35.7 / (35.7 + 168.4)) / (36 / (36 + 165.6))
=0.174914 / 0.178571
=0.9795

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(380.9 / 3834.5) / (369.7 / 2644.6)
=0.099335 / 0.139794
=0.7106

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((96 + 1082.5) / 1943.2) / ((100.8 + 961.2) / 1304)
=0.606474 / 0.814417
=0.7447

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(465.2 - 0 - 98.3) / 1943.2
=0.188812

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Timex Group India has a M-score of 1.85 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Timex Group India Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Timex Group India (BOM:500414) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
C-1, Sector-16, 3rd Floor, World Trade Tower, Unit number 303, Tower-B,, Noida, UP, IND, 201301
Timex Group India Ltd is an Indian company engaged in designing, manufacturing, and marketing timepieces and jewelry and rendering related after-sales services. The company's business segment comprises watches and others. Its watches segment includes manufacturing and trading of watches. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from India. The company's brand includes Timex, Helix, and TMX. The Company is primarily in the business of manufacturing and trading of watches and rendering of related after-sales service ("Watches").

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