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Grupo Argos (BOG:GRUPOARGOS) Beneish M-Score : -2.54 (As of May. 20, 2024)


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What is Grupo Argos Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.54 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Grupo Argos's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BOG:GRUPOARGOS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.94   Med: -2.44   Max: 4.29
Current: -2.54

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Grupo Argos was 4.29. The lowest was -2.94. And the median was -2.44.


Grupo Argos Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Grupo Argos's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Grupo Argos Beneish M-Score Chart

Grupo Argos Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.94 -2.50 -2.83 -2.70 -2.54

Grupo Argos Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.54 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Grupo Argos's Beneish M-Score

For the Building Materials subindustry, Grupo Argos's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grupo Argos's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Building Materials Industry

For the Building Materials industry and Basic Materials sector, Grupo Argos's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grupo Argos's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Grupo Argos Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Grupo Argos for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8395+0.528 * 1.052+0.404 * 0.812+0.892 * 1.3085+0.115 * 1.1155
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8767+4.679 * -0.04355-0.327 * 0.9046
=-2.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec22) TTM:Last Year (Dec21) TTM:
Total Receivables was COP2,718,115 Mil.
Revenue was COP21,339,706 Mil.
Gross Profit was COP5,548,334 Mil.
Total Current Assets was COP13,693,378 Mil.
Total Assets was COP56,941,068 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was COP23,167,820 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was COP1,626,911 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was COP2,039,182 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was COP10,321,532 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was COP6,400,699 Mil.
Net Income was COP881,424 Mil.
Gross Profit was COP0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was COP3,361,202 Mil.
Total Receivables was COP2,474,445 Mil.
Revenue was COP16,309,119 Mil.
Gross Profit was COP4,460,806 Mil.
Total Current Assets was COP7,989,257 Mil.
Total Assets was COP52,589,344 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was COP21,762,125 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was COP1,718,651 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was COP1,777,658 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was COP7,764,963 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was COP9,307,133 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2718115 / 21339706) / (2474445 / 16309119)
=0.127374 / 0.151722
=0.8395

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4460806 / 16309119) / (5548334 / 21339706)
=0.273516 / 0.26
=1.052

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (13693378 + 23167820) / 56941068) / (1 - (7989257 + 21762125) / 52589344)
=0.352643 / 0.43427
=0.812

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=21339706 / 16309119
=1.3085

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1718651 / (1718651 + 21762125)) / (1626911 / (1626911 + 23167820))
=0.073194 / 0.065615
=1.1155

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2039182 / 21339706) / (1777658 / 16309119)
=0.095558 / 0.108998
=0.8767

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6400699 + 10321532) / 56941068) / ((9307133 + 7764963) / 52589344)
=0.293676 / 0.32463
=0.9046

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(881424 - 0 - 3361202) / 56941068
=-0.04355

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Grupo Argos has a M-score of -2.54 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Grupo Argos Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Grupo Argos (BOG:GRUPOARGOS) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Carrera 43A, No. 1A Sur 143, Santillana Center - South Tower, Medellin, COL
Grupo Argos SA is a holding company with businesses spanning multiple industries including cement, energy, highway and airport construction, port operations, real estate, and coal. The Cement segment, which generates the majority of revenue, has a majority ownership stake in Cementos Argos, which manufactures and sells cement, concrete, and cement-related products in multiple countries throughout the Americas. The Energy segment has a majority ownership stake in a company named Celsia, which generates and sells gas, thermal energy, and hydroelectric energy throughout Central and South America.

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