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Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL (BKK:UBE) Beneish M-Score : -2.89 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.89 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:UBE' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.89   Med: -1.85   Max: -1.73
Current: -2.89

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL was -1.73. The lowest was -2.89. And the median was -1.85.


Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - -1.73 -1.85 -2.89

Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL Quarterly Data
Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.85 -1.99 -2.30 -2.26 -2.89

Competitive Comparison of Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's Beneish M-Score

For the Farm Products subindustry, Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7775+0.528 * 1.4242+0.404 * 1.3905+0.892 * 0.8109+0.115 * 1.0514
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.104+4.679 * -0.069586-0.327 * 1.2405
=-2.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿536 Mil.
Revenue was 1651.66 + 1434.697 + 1252.469 + 1499.21 = ฿5,838 Mil.
Gross Profit was 131.073 + 179.264 + 99.827 + 98.992 = ฿509 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿2,344 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿7,266 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿4,741 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿404 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿450 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿1,281 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿217 Mil.
Net Income was 15.5 + 20.726 + -106.637 + -26.162 = ฿-97 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 14.886 + -8.498 + -7.464 + -5.573 = ฿-7 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 185.783 + 698.971 + 835.112 + -1304.169 = ฿416 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿850 Mil.
Revenue was 2057.858 + 1775.585 + 1825.174 + 1540.711 = ฿7,199 Mil.
Gross Profit was 208.562 + 167.155 + 279.082 + 239.405 = ฿894 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿2,370 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿7,219 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿4,720 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿424 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿503 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿745 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿455 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(535.853 / 5838.036) / (849.918 / 7199.328)
=0.091787 / 0.118055
=0.7775

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(894.204 / 7199.328) / (509.156 / 5838.036)
=0.124207 / 0.087214
=1.4242

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2344.169 + 4740.556) / 7266.147) / (1 - (2369.705 + 4720.052) / 7219.386)
=0.024968 / 0.017956
=1.3905

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5838.036 / 7199.328
=0.8109

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(424.351 / (424.351 + 4720.052)) / (403.599 / (403.599 + 4740.556))
=0.082488 / 0.078458
=1.0514

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(450.309 / 5838.036) / (503.001 / 7199.328)
=0.077134 / 0.069868
=1.104

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((217.496 + 1280.789) / 7266.147) / ((455.339 + 744.728) / 7219.386)
=0.206201 / 0.166228
=1.2405

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-96.573 - -6.649 - 415.697) / 7266.147
=-0.069586

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL has a M-score of -2.89 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL (BKK:UBE) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
333 Moo 9, Nadee Sub district, Nayia District, Ubon Ratchathani Province, Ubon Ratchathani, THA, 34160
Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL is engaged in the manufacture and distribution of processed cassava products which include cassava-based ethanol, cassava starch, cassava flour, other organic products, biogas and electricity from biogas and solar power system. The company has three reportable segment Tapioca starch, biogas and electricity, Ethanol and others. Majority of revenue is generated from Ethanol segment.

Ubon Bio Ethanol PCL (BKK:UBE) Headlines

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