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Gulf Energy Development PCL (BKK:GULF) Beneish M-Score : -2.29 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Gulf Energy Development PCL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.29 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Gulf Energy Development PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:GULF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.67   Med: -2   Max: 11.44
Current: -2.29

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Gulf Energy Development PCL was 11.44. The lowest was -2.67. And the median was -2.00.


Gulf Energy Development PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gulf Energy Development PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gulf Energy Development PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Gulf Energy Development PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.40 -2.21 -1.88 -1.46 -2.44

Gulf Energy Development PCL Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.92 -2.00 -2.23 -2.44 -2.29

Competitive Comparison of Gulf Energy Development PCL's Beneish M-Score

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Gulf Energy Development PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gulf Energy Development PCL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Gulf Energy Development PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gulf Energy Development PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Gulf Energy Development PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Gulf Energy Development PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0564+0.528 * 1.0724+0.404 * 1.0695+0.892 * 1.1932+0.115 * 1.0277
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0515+4.679 * -0.019698-0.327 * 1.0043
=-2.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿35,158 Mil.
Revenue was 31598.764 + 27665.27 + 27419.252 + 32557.221 = ฿119,241 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5741.792 + 5725.545 + 5553.436 + 5442.497 = ฿22,463 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿77,219 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿472,868 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿89,724 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿4,364 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿3,946 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿81,091 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿234,952 Mil.
Net Income was 3498.526 + 4762.517 + 3360.304 + 2884.932 = ฿14,506 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 1293.991 + 4461.232 + 1735.336 + 1184.104 = ฿8,675 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2248.951 + 4009.38 + 7589.053 + 1298.985 = ฿15,146 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿27,893 Mil.
Revenue was 26412.697 + 26888.046 + 23631.31 + 23003.796 = ฿99,936 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5311.372 + 5740.023 + 4700.243 + 4437.161 = ฿20,189 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿82,706 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿450,619 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿95,320 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿4,771 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿3,145 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿63,666 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿236,221 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(35158.263 / 119240.507) / (27893.158 / 99935.849)
=0.294852 / 0.279111
=1.0564

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(20188.799 / 99935.849) / (22463.27 / 119240.507)
=0.202018 / 0.188386
=1.0724

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (77218.73 + 89724.319) / 472868.497) / (1 - (82706.236 + 95319.97) / 450618.576)
=0.646957 / 0.604929
=1.0695

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=119240.507 / 99935.849
=1.1932

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4770.83 / (4770.83 + 95319.97)) / (4363.762 / (4363.762 + 89724.319))
=0.047665 / 0.04638
=1.0277

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3945.732 / 119240.507) / (3145.041 / 99935.849)
=0.033091 / 0.031471
=1.0515

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((234952.032 + 81091.237) / 472868.497) / ((236220.893 + 63666.272) / 450618.576)
=0.668353 / 0.665501
=1.0043

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(14506.279 - 8674.663 - 15146.369) / 472868.497
=-0.019698

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Gulf Energy Development PCL has a M-score of -2.29 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Gulf Energy Development PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Gulf Energy Development PCL (BKK:GULF) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Wireless Road, All Seasons Place, 87 M.Thai Tower 11th Floor, Lumpini, Pathumwan, Bangkok, THA, 10330
Gulf Energy Development PCL is a Thailand based business, that engages in electricity-generating business. The principal operation of the group is to generate and sell electricity, steam and cold water storing and converting natural gas from liquid to gas, provide satellite services and, and other related businesses. It is also involved in the business of renewable energy, such as solar rooftops and biomass energy. It operates through the following segments: The power segment, the Infrastructure segment, Satellite business segment, and Consulting segment. Geographically the company caters its services to both domestic and international markets.

Gulf Energy Development PCL (BKK:GULF) Headlines