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Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings (Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings) Beneish M-Score : 87.76 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 87.76 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BAER' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 87.76   Med: 87.76   Max: 87.76
Current: 87.76

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings was 87.76. The lowest was 87.76. And the median was 87.76.


Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - - 87.76

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec20 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - -0.82 87.76

Competitive Comparison of Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 98.6528+0.528 * 0.7087+0.404 * 4.0981+0.892 * 1.438+0.115 * 0.8752
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.6403+4.679 * -0.196007-0.327 * 1.1443
=87.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $4.11 Mil.
Revenue was 1.108 + 53.619 + 11.615 + 0.365 = $66.71 Mil.
Gross Profit was -7.265 + 38.411 + 1.105 + -6.883 = $25.37 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $45.20 Mil.
Total Assets was $273.47 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $204.15 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $11.09 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $82.86 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $25.40 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $210.36 Mil.
Net Income was -31.139 + 17.488 + -19.022 + -44.685 = $-77.36 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.8 + 0.56 + 0.602 + 1.091 = $3.05 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 14.683 + 11.953 + -16.792 + -36.653 = $-26.81 Mil.
Total Receivables was $0.03 Mil.
Revenue was 1.112 + 32.453 + 12.754 + 0.069 = $46.39 Mil.
Gross Profit was -4.206 + 19.834 + 3.332 + -6.458 = $12.50 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $106.87 Mil.
Total Assets was $305.98 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $192.53 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $9.09 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $35.13 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $24.31 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $206.23 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4.113 / 66.707) / (0.029 / 46.388)
=0.061658 / 0.000625
=98.6528

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(12.502 / 46.388) / (25.368 / 66.707)
=0.269509 / 0.38029
=0.7087

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (45.195 + 204.153) / 273.47) / (1 - (106.865 + 192.528) / 305.979)
=0.088207 / 0.021524
=4.0981

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=66.707 / 46.388
=1.438

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(9.091 / (9.091 + 192.528)) / (11.089 / (11.089 + 204.153))
=0.04509 / 0.051519
=0.8752

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(82.862 / 66.707) / (35.128 / 46.388)
=1.242178 / 0.757265
=1.6403

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((210.364 + 25.398) / 273.47) / ((206.226 + 24.307) / 305.979)
=0.862113 / 0.753428
=1.1443

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-77.358 - 3.053 - -26.809) / 273.47
=-0.196007

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings has a M-score of 87.76 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings (Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
90 Aviation Lane, Belgrade, MT, USA, 59714
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc operates as an aerial firefighting company. It provides aerial wildfire surveillance, relief and suppression, and aerial firefighting services using next-generation technology and environmentally friendly and sustainable firefighting methods. Bridger Aerospace provides aerial firefighting and wildfire management services to federal and state government agencies, including the United States Forest Service, across the nation.
Executives
Anne Hayes director 6436 31ST STREET NW, WASHINGTON DC 20015
Thomas Jermoluk 10 percent owner 386 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, FL 20, NEW YORK NY 10016
Ksh Capital Lp 10 percent owner 386 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, FL 20, NEW YORK NY 10016
Jcic Sponsor Llc 10 percent owner 386 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, FL 20, NEW YORK NY 10016
Debra Coleman director C/O FORTRESS CAPITAL ACQUISITION CORP., 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 45TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Blackstone Inc. 10 percent owner 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Jpmorgan Chase Funding Inc. 10 percent owner 383 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10179
Grannus Holdings Manager - Nq Llc 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Family Tactical Opportunities Investment Partnership Iii - Nq - Esc L.p. 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bto Grannus Holdings Iv - Nq Llc 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Howard Hugh Wyman Iii director 1209 ORANGE STREET, C/O ZERO ONE GROUP, WILMINGTON DE 19801
Dean Heller director 195 HUDSON AURORA ROAD, SMITH NV 89430
Todd J Hirsch director 345 PARK AVENUE, 27TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10154
Timothy P Sheehy director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO & Co-Founder 90 AVIATION LANE, BELGRADE MT 59714
James J Muchmore officer: Chief Legal Officer & EVP 90 AVIATION LANE, BELGRADE MT 59714