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South32 (ASX:S32) Beneish M-Score : -2.69 (As of May. 07, 2024)


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What is South32 Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.69 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for South32's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:S32' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.63   Med: -2.84   Max: 2.02
Current: -2.69

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of South32 was 2.02. The lowest was -3.63. And the median was -2.84.


South32 Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for South32's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

South32 Beneish M-Score Chart

South32 Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.85 -3.33 -3.27 -1.71 -2.69

South32 Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -1.71 - -2.69 -

Competitive Comparison of South32's Beneish M-Score

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, South32's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


South32's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, South32's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where South32's Beneish M-Score falls into.



South32 Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of South32 for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1501+0.528 * 1.3264+0.404 * 1.1819+0.892 * 0.8392+0.115 * 0.8652
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.093656-0.327 * 0.9913
=-2.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$1,159 Mil.
Revenue was A$11,069 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$5,178 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$4,826 Mil.
Total Assets was A$21,700 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$11,995 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$973 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$2,324 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$2,050 Mil.
Net Income was A$-258 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$1,775 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$1,201 Mil.
Revenue was A$13,190 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$8,184 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$6,034 Mil.
Total Assets was A$23,246 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$12,790 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$888 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$2,699 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$2,028 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1159.22 / 11069.21) / (1201.012 / 13189.787)
=0.104725 / 0.091056
=1.1501

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8183.673 / 13189.787) / (5177.75 / 11069.21)
=0.620455 / 0.467761
=1.3264

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4826.11 + 11994.5) / 21700.36) / (1 - (6033.52 + 12789.924) / 23246.128)
=0.22487 / 0.190255
=1.1819

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11069.21 / 13189.787
=0.8392

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(887.952 / (887.952 + 12789.924)) / (972.97 / (972.97 + 11994.5))
=0.064919 / 0.075032
=0.8652

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 11069.21) / (0 / 13189.787)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2050.24 + 2324.4) / 21700.36) / ((2027.775 + 2699.431) / 23246.128)
=0.201593 / 0.203355
=0.9913

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-257.77 - 0 - 1774.59) / 21700.36
=-0.093656

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

South32 has a M-score of -2.69 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


South32 Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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South32 (ASX:S32) Business Description

Address
108 St Georges Terrace, Level 35, Perth, WA, AUS, 6000
South32 was born of the demerger of noncore assets from BHP in 2015. South32's major operations include alumina businesses in Australia and Brazil, aluminium in Brazil, South Africa, and Mozambique, manganese businesses in Australia and South Africa, and New South Wales metallurgical coal. It also owns the Cannington silver/lead/zinc mine in northwest Queensland and the Cerro Matoso nickel mine in Colombia. Cannington silver mine and manganese operations deliver high returns, but have relatively short reserve life. The company acquired Arizona Mining, which brings with it the high-grade and likely low-cost Taylor deposit in the U.S., and also entered the copper business in 2022 via the purchase of a 45% stake in the Sierra Gorda mine in Chile.

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