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Arab Potash Co (AMM:APOT) Beneish M-Score : -2.89 (As of Jun. 03, 2024)


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What is Arab Potash Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.89 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arab Potash Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AMM:APOT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.74   Med: -2.31   Max: -1.03
Current: -2.89

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Arab Potash Co was -1.03. The lowest was -3.74. And the median was -2.31.


Arab Potash Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Arab Potash Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Arab Potash Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Arab Potash Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.11 -2.48 -2.15 -1.51 -2.54

Arab Potash Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.80 -1.49 -2.14 -2.54 -2.89

Competitive Comparison of Arab Potash Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Arab Potash Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arab Potash Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Arab Potash Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arab Potash Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Arab Potash Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Arab Potash Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6084+0.528 * 1.5709+0.404 * 1.0532+0.892 * 0.6118+0.115 * 1.0736
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.6336+4.679 * -0.028573-0.327 * 0.3757
=-2.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was JOD126.3 Mil.
Revenue was 162.108 + 192.059 + 188.272 + 182.148 = JOD724.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was 74.267 + 84.417 + 85.581 + 86.427 = JOD330.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was JOD822.2 Mil.
Total Assets was JOD2,021.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was JOD784.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was JOD64.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was JOD18.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was JOD177.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was JOD1.7 Mil.
Net Income was 52.352 + 53.16 + 58.858 + 66.846 = JOD231.2 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = JOD0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 62.711 + 97.721 + 127.072 + 1.464 = JOD289.0 Mil.
Total Receivables was JOD339.5 Mil.
Revenue was 230.044 + 277.18 + 368.471 + 308.724 = JOD1,184.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was 152.937 + 188.426 + 283.487 + 224.32 = JOD849.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was JOD1,024.5 Mil.
Total Assets was JOD2,102.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was JOD668.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was JOD59.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was JOD18.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was JOD493.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was JOD2.4 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(126.347 / 724.587) / (339.464 / 1184.419)
=0.174371 / 0.286608
=0.6084

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(849.17 / 1184.419) / (330.692 / 724.587)
=0.716951 / 0.456387
=1.5709

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (822.24 + 784.155) / 2021.239) / (1 - (1024.539 + 668.093) / 2102.323)
=0.205242 / 0.194875
=1.0532

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=724.587 / 1184.419
=0.6118

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(59.406 / (59.406 + 668.093)) / (64.553 / (64.553 + 784.155))
=0.081658 / 0.07606
=1.0736

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(18.499 / 724.587) / (18.51 / 1184.419)
=0.02553 / 0.015628
=1.6336

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1.71 + 177.535) / 2021.239) / ((2.363 + 493.822) / 2102.323)
=0.088681 / 0.236017
=0.3757

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(231.216 - 0 - 288.968) / 2021.239
=-0.028573

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Arab Potash Co has a M-score of -2.89 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Arab Potash Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Arab Potash Co (AMM:APOT) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Al Shmeisani - Al Jaheth Street, P.0. Box 1470, Amman, JOR, 11118
Arab Potash Co Ltd produces potash, potassium nitrate, and other derivatives. Its segments consist of Producing potash and Salt through Arab Potash Company, producing potassium nitrate and dicalcium phosphate through Arab Fertilizers and Chemical Industries, and Producing mixed salts and mud through Numeira Mixed Salts and Mud Company. Its sales are spread across China and India, the Far and Middle East, Africa, Europe, Canada, America, and Australia. The majority of the revenue comes from the china and India.

Arab Potash Co (AMM:APOT) Headlines

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