GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Affirm Holdings Inc (NAS:AFRM) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

Affirm Holdings (Affirm Holdings) Beneish M-Score : -2.80 (As of May. 09, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Affirm Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.8 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Affirm Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AFRM' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.87   Med: -2.65   Max: 5.04
Current: -2.8

During the past 5 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Affirm Holdings was 5.04. The lowest was -2.87. And the median was -2.65.


Affirm Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Affirm Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Affirm Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Affirm Holdings Annual Data
Trend Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
- - 5.04 -2.87 -2.55

Affirm Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.70 -2.66 -2.55 -2.64 -2.80

Competitive Comparison of Affirm Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Affirm Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Affirm Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Affirm Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Affirm Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Affirm Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Affirm Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1049+0.528 * 0.8924+0.404 * 0.8035+0.892 * 1.2935+0.115 * 0.7092
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.6762+4.679 * -0.116801-0.327 * 1.0494
=-2.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $5,284 Mil.
Revenue was 591.11 + 496.547 + 445.825 + 380.978 = $1,914 Mil.
Gross Profit was 381.074 + 287.911 + 222.26 + 153.957 = $1,045 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,749 Mil.
Total Assets was $9,065 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $395 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $157 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,134 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $159 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $6,243 Mil.
Net Income was -166.902 + -171.783 + -205.962 + -205.677 = $-750 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 4.493 + 37.042 + 35.614 + 68.588 = $146 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 74.321 + 98.902 + 43.789 + -54.275 = $163 Mil.
Total Receivables was $3,697 Mil.
Revenue was 399.558 + 361.624 + 364.134 + 354.762 = $1,480 Mil.
Gross Profit was 176.303 + 162.304 + 181.391 + 201.1 = $721 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,525 Mil.
Total Assets was $7,805 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $293 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $74 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,297 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $162 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,091 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5283.923 / 1914.46) / (3697.109 / 1480.078)
=2.760007 / 2.497915
=1.1049

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(721.098 / 1480.078) / (1045.202 / 1914.46)
=0.487203 / 0.545951
=0.8924

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7749.201 + 394.903) / 9064.989) / (1 - (6525.469 + 292.553) / 7804.751)
=0.101587 / 0.126427
=0.8035

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1914.46 / 1480.078
=1.2935

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(74.103 / (74.103 + 292.553)) / (157.391 / (157.391 + 394.903))
=0.202105 / 0.284977
=0.7092

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1134.102 / 1914.46) / (1296.722 / 1480.078)
=0.592387 / 0.876117
=0.6762

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6243.372 + 158.695) / 9064.989) / ((5090.531 + 162.184) / 7804.751)
=0.706241 / 0.673015
=1.0494

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-750.324 - 145.737 - 162.737) / 9064.989
=-0.116801

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Affirm Holdings has a M-score of -2.80 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Affirm Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Affirm Holdings's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Affirm Holdings (Affirm Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
650 California Street, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94108
Affirm Holdings Inc offers a platform for digital and mobile-first commerce. It comprises a point-of-sale payment solution for consumers, merchant commerce solutions, and a consumer-focused app. The firm generates its revenue from merchant networks, and through virtual card networks among others. Geographically, it generates a majority share of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Michael Linford officer: Chief Financial Officer 3000 HANOVER STREET, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Gic Private Ltd 10 percent owner 168 ROBINSON ROAD, #37-01 CAPITAL TOWER, SINGAPORE U0 068912
Rodriquez Manuel Sanchez director C/O FANNIE MAE, 1100 15TH STREET, NW, WASHINGTON DC 20005
Keith Rabois director C/O YELP! INC., 706 MISSION ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Noel Bertram Watson director 400 1ST AVENUE, C/O TRIPADVISOR, INC., NEEDHAM MA 02494
Jenny J Ming director
James D White director C/O CAVA GROUP, INC., 202-400-2920 14 RIDGE SQUARE NW, SUITE 5, WASHINGTON DC 20016
Jacqueline D Reses director C/O SQUARE, INC., 1455 MARKET STREET #600, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Katherine Adkins officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O AFFIRM HOLDINGS, INC., 650 CALIFORNIA STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94108
Jeremy Liew director 2200 SAND HILL ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Jeremy Philips director C/O TRIPADVISOR, INC., 141 NEEDHAM STREET, NEWTON MA 02464
Siphelele Jiyane officer: Vice President, Controller C/O AFFIRM HOLDINGS, INC., 650 CALIFORNIA STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94108
Libor Michalek officer: President, Technology C/O AFFIRM HOLDINGS, INC., 650 CALIFORNIA STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94108
Silvija Martincevic officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O AFFIRM HOLDINGS, INC., 650 CALIFORNIA STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94108
Sandeep Bhandari officer: Chief Risk & Strategy Officer 71 STEVENSON STREET SUITE 300, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105