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Al Fujairah National Insurance Co PSC (ADX:AFNIC) Beneish M-Score : -2.16 (As of Jun. 05, 2024)


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What is Al Fujairah National Insurance Co PSC Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.16 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Al Fujairah National Insurance Co PSC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ADX:AFNIC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.3   Med: -2.38   Max: -1.34
Current: -2.16

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Al Fujairah National Insurance Co PSC was -1.34. The lowest was -3.30. And the median was -2.38.


Al Fujairah National Insurance Co PSC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Al Fujairah National Insurance Co PSC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.399+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0305+0.892 * 0.9822+0.115 * 0.7255
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2287+4.679 * -0.028588-0.327 * 0.4981
=-2.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec22) TTM:Last Year (Dec21) TTM:
Total Receivables was د.إ93.4 Mil.
Revenue was د.إ188.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was د.إ188.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was د.إ0.0 Mil.
Total Assets was د.إ685.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was د.إ30.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was د.إ18.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was د.إ9.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was د.إ0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was د.إ11.9 Mil.
Net Income was د.إ-14.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was د.إ0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was د.إ5.2 Mil.
Total Receivables was د.إ68.0 Mil.
Revenue was د.إ191.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was د.إ191.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was د.إ0.0 Mil.
Total Assets was د.إ647.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was د.إ47.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was د.إ17.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was د.إ8.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was د.إ0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was د.إ22.5 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(93.413 / 188.18) / (67.98 / 191.586)
=0.496402 / 0.354828
=1.399

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(191.586 / 191.586) / (188.18 / 188.18)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 30.605) / 685.597) / (1 - (0 + 47.237) / 647.751)
=0.95536 / 0.927075
=1.0305

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=188.18 / 191.586
=0.9822

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(17.622 / (17.622 + 47.237)) / (18.323 / (18.323 + 30.605))
=0.271697 / 0.374489
=0.7255

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(9.663 / 188.18) / (8.007 / 191.586)
=0.05135 / 0.041793
=1.2287

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((11.872 + 0) / 685.597) / ((22.518 + 0) / 647.751)
=0.017316 / 0.034763
=0.4981

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-14.433 - 0 - 5.167) / 685.597
=-0.028588

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Al Fujairah National Insurance Co PSC has a M-score of -2.16 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Al Fujairah National Insurance Co PSC Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Al Fujairah National Insurance Co PSC (ADX:AFNIC) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Hamad Bin Abdullah Street, 8th Floor, Insurance Building, PO Box 277, Fujairah, ARE
Al Fujairah National Insurance Co PSC is an insurance service provider. The company is engaged in the writing of all classes of general insurance and short-term life insurance. It provides services in Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Sharjah, Dibba, and Fujairah and also through Insurance ATMs. The company writes all classes of Property and Casualty insurances, including individual insurance that covers automobile insurance, medical insurance, home insurance, life insurance, and world wide personal accident insurance; and corporate insurance that covers aviation insurance, group life insurance, group medical insurance, energy insurance, engineering and projects, liability insurance, marine insurance, property insurance and miscellaneous insurance. Its segments are underwriting and investments.