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Advance Residence Investment (TSE:3269) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : 円206,088.52 (As of May. 02, 2024)


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What is Advance Residence Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-02), Advance Residence Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 円206,088.52. The stock price of Advance Residence Investment is 円347500.00. Therefore, Advance Residence Investment's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Advance Residence Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3269' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.64   Med: 2.54   Max: 12.4
Current: 1.69

During the past 11 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Advance Residence Investment was 12.40. The lowest was 1.64. And the median was 2.54.

TSE:3269's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
90.88% of 548 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 0.66 vs TSE:3269: 1.69

Advance Residence Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Advance Residence Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Advance Residence Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Advance Residence Investment Annual Data
Trend Jul12 Jul13 Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 104,339.00 116,135.00 27,227.70 183,071.00 206,089.00

Advance Residence Investment Semi-Annual Data
Jan14 Jul14 Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 206,089.00 - 206,530.00 - -

Competitive Comparison of Advance Residence Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the REIT - Residential subindustry, Advance Residence Investment's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Advance Residence Investment's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Advance Residence Investment's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Advance Residence Investment's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Advance Residence Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Advance Residence Investment's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = 円10,612.96.

Advance Residence Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jul21)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*10612.957428571+230491.886*0.8)/1.385
=206,088.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Advance Residence Investment  (TSE:3269) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Advance Residence Investment's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=347500.00/206088.51624044
=1.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Advance Residence Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Advance Residence Investment (TSE:3269) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3-26 Kanda-Nishikicho, Chiyoda Ward, Tokyo, JPN, 101-0054
Advance Residence Investment Corp is a real estate investment trust that engaged in the property leasing business. It was created through consolidation type merger between the former Advance Residence Investment Corporation and Nippon Residential Investment Corporation. In order to secure stable earnings and steady growth in assets under management, the company procures funds through loans, issuance of investment corporation bonds, issuance of units, and other means of financing for purchasing real estate properties and repaying its debts. The company primarily invests in residential real estate properties located in central Tokyo, and the Tokyo metropolitan area.

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