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Elastic NV (Elastic NV) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $6.42 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Elastic NV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-01), Elastic NV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.42. The stock price of Elastic NV is $105.75. Therefore, Elastic NV's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 16.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Elastic NV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ESTC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 15.92   Med: 20.37   Max: 21.13
Current: 16.47

During the past 7 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Elastic NV was 21.13. The lowest was 15.92. And the median was 20.37.

ESTC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
96.28% of 1264 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.625 vs ESTC: 16.47

Elastic NV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Elastic NV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Elastic NV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Elastic NV Annual Data
Trend Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - 2.71

Elastic NV Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 2.71 3.36 3.58 6.42

Competitive Comparison of Elastic NV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Software - Application subindustry, Elastic NV's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Elastic NV's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Elastic NV's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Elastic NV's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Elastic NV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Elastic NV's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $7.03.

Elastic NV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*7.0272+707.837*0.8)/104.503
=6.42

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Elastic NV  (NYSE:ESTC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Elastic NV's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=105.75/6.4181165836711
=16.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Elastic NV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Elastic NV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Elastic NV (Elastic NV) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Elastic NV (NYSE:ESTC) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Keizersgracht 281, Amsterdam, NH, NLD, 1016 ED
Elastic is a software company based in Mountain View, California, focusing on search-adjacent products. Its search engine allows it to process both structured and unstructured data while gleaning insights from that data. The firm's primary focus is on enterprise search, observability, and security.
Executives
Alison Gleeson director C/O ELASTIC N.V., 800 WEST EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 350, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94040
Shelley B Leibowitz director C/O MORGAN STANLEY, 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Carolyn Herzog officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O ELASTIC N.V., 800 WEST EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 350, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94040
Ken Exner officer: Chief Product Officer C/O ELASTIC NV, 800 WEST EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 350, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94040
Ashutosh Kulkarni officer: Chief Executive Officer 6220 AMERICA CENTER DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95002
Shay Banon director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and Chairman C/O ELASTIC NV, 800 WEST EL CAMINO REAL SUITE 350, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94040
Janesh Moorjani officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ELASTIC N.V., 800 WEST EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 350, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94040
Chetan Puttagunta director 2855 SAND HILL ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Auvil Paul R. Iii director C/O PROOFPOINT, INC., 892 ROSS DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Sohaib Abbasi director 100 EAST DAVIE STREET, RALEIGH NC 27601
Jonathan Chadwick director 3401 HILLVIEW AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Garrett W.h. Baird officer: SVP and General Counsel C/O ELASTIC N.V., 800 WEST EL CAMINO REAL SUITE 350, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94040
Peter H Fenton director, 10 percent owner 2480 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 200, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Paul Andrew Appleby officer: President, Worldwide Field Ops C/O ELASTIC N.V., 800 WEST EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 350, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94040
Steven Schuurman director, 10 percent owner C/O ELASTIC NV, 800 WEST EL CAMINO REAL SUITE 350, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94040