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Axon Enterprise (Axon Enterprise) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $31.66 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Axon Enterprise Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-29), Axon Enterprise's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $31.66. The stock price of Axon Enterprise is $313.30. Therefore, Axon Enterprise's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 9.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Axon Enterprise's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AXON' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.07   Med: 4.7   Max: 9.9
Current: 9.9

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Axon Enterprise was 9.90. The lowest was 2.07. And the median was 4.70.

AXON's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
93.98% of 166 companies
in the Aerospace & Defense industry
Industry Median: 1.955 vs AXON: 9.90

Axon Enterprise Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Axon Enterprise's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Axon Enterprise Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Axon Enterprise Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.21 17.47 18.09 24.40 31.66

Axon Enterprise Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.40 23.65 24.71 27.26 31.66

Competitive Comparison of Axon Enterprise's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Axon Enterprise's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Axon Enterprise's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Axon Enterprise's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Axon Enterprise's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Axon Enterprise Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Axon Enterprise's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $75.51.

Axon Enterprise's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*75.51392+1612.034*0.8)/76.188
=31.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Axon Enterprise  (NAS:AXON) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Axon Enterprise's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=313.30/31.658061808618
=9.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Axon Enterprise Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Axon Enterprise's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Axon Enterprise (Axon Enterprise) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
17800 North 85th Street, Scottsdale, AZ, USA, 85255
Axon Enterprise Inc develops, manufactures, and sells conducted energy devices and cloud-based digital evidence management software designed for use by law enforcement, corrections, military forces, private security personnel, and private individuals for personal defense. The company operates in two segments: Taser and software & sensors. Taser develops and sells CEDs used for protecting users and virtual reality training. Software and sensors manufacture fully integrated hardware and cloud-based software solutions such as body cameras, automated license plate reading, and digital evidence management systems. Axon delivers its products worldwide and gets most of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Joshua Isner officer: EVP Global Sales 17800 N 85TH ST, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85255
Jeffrey C Kunins officer: Chief Product Officer 17800 NORTH 85TH STREET, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85255
Brittany Bagley officer: CFO & CBO C/O SONOS, INC., 614 CHAPALA STREET, SANTA BARBARA CA 93101
Julie A Cullivan director 17800 N 85TH ST, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85255
Hadi Partovi director 9655 LAKE WASHINGTON BLVD NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Erika Nardini director 1241 E MAIN ST, STAMFORD CT 06902-3520
Patrick W Smith director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 7860 EAST MCCLAIN DRIVE, SUITE 2, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260-1627
Jeri Williams director 17800 N 85TH ST, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85255
Graham Smith director 301 BRANNMAN ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Mark W Kroll director PO BOX 23, CRYSTAL BAY MN 55323
Caitlin Elizabeth Kalinowski director 17800 NORTH 85TH STREET, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85255
Michael Garnreiter director 6735 E. GREENWAY PARKWAY, UNIT #2049, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254
Luke Larson officer: Chief Marketing Officer 17800 N 85TH ST, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85255
Matthew R Mcbrady director
James Zito officer: Chief Financial Officer 17800 N 85TH ST, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85255