Applied Materials (Applied Materials) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $146.69 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is Applied Materials Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Applied Materials's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $146.69.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Applied Materials's Predictability Rank is 4-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Applied Materials is -38.65%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Applied Materials's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

AMAT' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.68 Med: 0.82 Max: 1.39
Current: 1.39

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Applied Materials was 1.39. The lowest was 0.68. And the median was 0.82.

AMAT's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked worse than
53.66% of 123 companies
in the Semiconductors industry
Industry Median: 1.34 vs AMAT: 1.39

Applied Materials Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Applied Materials's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Applied Materials Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Applied Materials Annual Data

Trend

Oct14

Oct15

Oct16

Oct17

Oct18

Oct19

Oct20

Oct21

Oct22

Oct23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Get a 7-Day Free Trial

148.42

130.47

144.67

Applied Materials Quarterly Data
	Apr19	Jul19	Oct19	Jan20	Apr20	Jul20	Oct20	Jan21	Apr21	Jul21	Oct21	Jan22	Apr22	Jul22	Oct22	Jan23	Apr23	Jul23	Oct23	Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															142.99	145.24	146.18	144.67	160.45

Competitive Comparison of Applied Materials's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials subindustry, Applied Materials's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Applied Materials's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Applied Materials's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Applied Materials's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Applied Materials Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 13.60%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Applied Materials's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 13.60%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 13.60%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $7.209.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Applied Materials's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.136)/(1+0.11) = 1.0234234234234
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

7.209

20.3479

146.69

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(146.69	-	203.38)	/	146.69
	=	-38.65 %

Applied Materials (NAS:AMAT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Applied Materials Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Applied Materials's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Applied Materials (Applied Materials) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Semiconductors » Applied Materials Inc (NAS:AMAT) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

AMAT:Mexico 1AMAT:Italy AP2d:UK 0R1A:UK AP2:Germany AP2:Germany AP2:Germany AP2:Germany A1MT34:Brazil AMAT:Austria AMAT:Argentina

Address

3050 Bowers Avenue, P.O. Box 58039, Santa Clara, CA, USA, 95052-8039

Website

https://www.appliedmaterials.com

Applied Materials is the largest semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment, or WFE, manufacturer in the world. Applied Materials has a broad portfolio spanning nearly every corner of the WFE ecosystem. Specifically, Applied Materials holds a market share leadership position in deposition, which entails the layering of new materials on semiconductor wafers. It is more exposed to general-purpose logic chips made at integrated device manufacturers and foundries. It counts the largest chipmakers in the world as customers, including TSMC, Intel, and Samsung.

Executives

Omkaram Nalamasu	officer: Senior VP, CTO	C/O APPLIED MATERIALS, INC., 3050 BOWERS AVENUE, P.O. BOX 58039, SANTA CLARA CA 95052-8039
Brice Hill	officer: SVP, CFO	2100 LOGIC DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95124
Teri A. Little	officer: SVP, CLO	ONE TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, MILPITAS CA 95035
Timothy M Deane	officer: GVP, Applied Global Services	C/O APPLIED MATERIALS, INC., 3050 BOWERS AVE, PO BOX 58039, SANTA CLARA CA 95052
Xun Chen	director	35 DORY RD., GLOUCESTER MA 01930
Kevin P March	director	12500 TI BLVD, DALLAS TX 75243
Jeff Bodner	officer: CVP, Corp. Controller & CAO	C/O ESS TECH INC, 26440 SW PARKWAY AVE BLDG. 83, WILSONVILLE CA 97070
Gary E Dickerson	director, officer: President and CEO
Ginetto Addiego	officer: SVP, Engineering	4000 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Daniel Durn	officer: Senior VP	C/O APPLIED MATERIALS, INC., 3050 BOWERS AVENUE, P.O. BOX 58039, SANTA CLARA CA 95052-8039
Prabu G. Raja	officer: SVP, Semi. Products Group	C/O APPLIED MATERIALS, INC., 3050 BOWERS AVENUE, P.O. BOX 58039, SANTA CLARA CA 95052
Thomas J Iannotti	director	C/O APPLIED MATERIALS, INC., 3050 BOWERS AVENUE, P.O. BOX 58039, SANTA CLARA CA 95052-8039
Rani Borkar	director	C/O APPLIED MATERIALS, INC., 3050 BOWERS AVE, PO BOX 58039, SANTA CLARA CA 95052
Alexander Karsner	director	C/O APPLIED MATERIALS, INC., 3050 BOWERS AVENUE, P.O. BOX 58039, SANTA CLARA CA 95052-8039
Stephen R Forrest	director	C/O APPLIED MATERIALS, INC., 3050 BOWERS AVENUE, P.O. BOX 58039, SANTA CLARA CA 95052-8039