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METRO AG (XTER:B4B) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €24.67 (As of May. 04, 2024)


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What is METRO AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-04), METRO AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €24.67. The stock price of METRO AG is €5.07. Therefore, METRO AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for METRO AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XTER:B4B' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.2   Med: 0.31   Max: 0.7
Current: 0.21

During the past 11 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of METRO AG was 0.70. The lowest was 0.20. And the median was 0.31.

XTER:B4B's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
95.58% of 226 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 0.89 vs XTER:B4B: 0.21

METRO AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for METRO AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

METRO AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

METRO AG Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 16.26 22.96 24.67

METRO AG Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.96 22.83 17.18 23.93 24.67

Competitive Comparison of METRO AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Food Distribution subindustry, METRO AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


METRO AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, METRO AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where METRO AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



METRO AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get METRO AG's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €747.20.

METRO AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.7849180867139*747.2+2011*0.8)/361.648
=24.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


METRO AG  (XTER:B4B) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

METRO AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=5.07/24.665118552827
=0.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


METRO AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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METRO AG (XTER:B4B) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Metro-Strasse 1, Dusseldorf, NW, DEU, 40235
METRO AG operates as a food service company. It is active in the self-service wholesale trade with the brands METRO and MAKRO as well as in the delivery sales with the METRO delivery service, and the supply specialists Classic Fine Foods, Pro a Pro, and Rungis Express. Its business consists of segments which include METRO Germany, METRO Western Europe, METRO Russia, METRO Eastern Europe, and others. The other segment includes Hospitality Digital, the business unit that bundles the group's digitalization initiatives. It also includes service companies that provide group-wide services in the areas of real estate, logistics, information technology, advertising, and procurement.
Executives
Rafael Gasset Giraldez Board of Directors
Claude Sarrailh Board of Directors
Dr. Steffen Greubel Board of Directors

METRO AG (XTER:B4B) Headlines

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