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Vanda Pharmaceuticals (Vanda Pharmaceuticals) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $13.11 (As of May. 13, 2024)


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What is Vanda Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-13), Vanda Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $13.11. The stock price of Vanda Pharmaceuticals is $5.055. Therefore, Vanda Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vanda Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

VNDA' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.32   Med: 1.37   Max: 13.26
Current: 0.39

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Vanda Pharmaceuticals was 13.26. The lowest was 0.32. And the median was 1.37.

VNDA's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
98.1% of 211 companies
in the Biotechnology industry
Industry Median: 2.47 vs VNDA: 0.39

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Vanda Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.61 9.57 11.46 12.20 13.11

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.20 13.37 13.20 13.26 13.11

Competitive Comparison of Vanda Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Vanda Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vanda Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Vanda Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vanda Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Vanda Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Vanda Pharmaceuticals's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $33.63.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*33.62976+544.91*0.8)/57.695
=13.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Vanda Pharmaceuticals  (NAS:VNDA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=5.055/13.105037512573
=0.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Vanda Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Vanda Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Vanda Pharmaceuticals (Vanda Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2200 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Suite 300 E, Washington, DC, USA, 20037
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc is a biopharmaceutical company engaged in the development and commercialization of therapies to address high unmet medical needs and improve the lives of patients. Its commercial portfolio comprises two products, HETLIOZ for the treatment of Non-24-Hour Sleep-Wake Disorder (Non-24) & nighttime sleep disturbances in Smith-Magenis Syndrome (SMS) and Fanapt for the treatment of schizophrenia. Its other products include VHX-896 and ASO Molecules. The majority of revenue is derived from HETLIOZ product sales.
Executives
Joakim Wijkstrom officer: SVP, Chief Marketing Officer 2200 PENNSYLVANIA AVE NW, SUITE 300E, WASHINGTON, DC DC 20037
Stephen Ray Mitchell director C/O VANDA PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 2200 PENNSYLVANIA AVE., SUITE 300E, WASHINGTON DC 20037
Kevin Patrick Moran officer: VP, Acting CFO & Treasurer C/O VANDA PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 2200 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, SUITE 300E, WASHINGTON DC 20037
Timothy Williams officer: SVP & General Counsel C/O VANDA PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 2200 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE NW, SUITE 300E, WASHINGTON DC 20037
Tage Honore director C/O VANDA PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 2200 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, SUITE 300E, WASHINGTON DC 20037
Mihael Hristos Polymeropoulos director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 9605 MEDICAL CENTER DRIVE SUITE 300, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Gunther Birznieks officer: SVP, Business Development 2200 PENNSYLVANIA AVE NW, SUITE 300E, WASHINGTON DC 20037
Thomas Watkins director 1221 GULF SHORE BLVD N #303, NAPLES FL 34102
Aranthan Ii Jones officer: Chief Corp. Affairs Officer 2200 PENNSYLVANIA AVE NW, SUITE 300E, WASHINGTON DC DC 20037
Phaedra Chrousos director 2200 PENNSYLVANIA AVE NW, SUITE 300E, WASHINGTON DC 20037
Richard W Dugan director 20425 SENECA MEADOWS PARKWAY, GERMANTOWN MD 20876
James Patrick Kelly officer: SVP, CFO, Treasurer & Secretar C/O SUPERNUS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 9715 KEY WEST AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Gian Piero Reverberi officer: SVP, General Manager Europe 2200 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, SUITE 300E, WASHINGTON DC 20037
Anne Sempowski Ward director C/O VANDA PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 2200 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, SUITE 300E, WASHINGTON DC 20037
Vincent Milano director C/O VIROPHARMA INC, 405 EAGLEVIEW BLVD, EXTON PA 19341