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Mandalay Resources (TSX:MND) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : C$2.88 (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Mandalay Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-15), Mandalay Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is C$2.88. The stock price of Mandalay Resources is C$2.27. Therefore, Mandalay Resources's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mandalay Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:MND' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.33   Med: 1.25   Max: 12
Current: 0.79

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Mandalay Resources was 12.00. The lowest was 0.33. And the median was 1.25.

TSX:MND's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
72.84% of 589 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 1.37 vs TSX:MND: 0.79

Mandalay Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mandalay Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mandalay Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Mandalay Resources Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.09 0.65 1.11 1.92 2.45

Mandalay Resources Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.99 2.07 2.17 2.45 2.88

Competitive Comparison of Mandalay Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Gold subindustry, Mandalay Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mandalay Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Mandalay Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mandalay Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Mandalay Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Mandalay Resources's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = C$6.89.

Mandalay Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*6.89488+263.011*0.8)/95.708
=2.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Mandalay Resources  (TSX:MND) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Mandalay Resources's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.27/2.8842989281145
=0.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Mandalay Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Mandalay Resources (TSX:MND) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
76 Richmond Street East, Suite 330, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5C 1P1
Mandalay Resources Corp is a Canadian-based natural resource corporation with producing assets in Australia and Sweden, and care and maintenance and development projects in Chile and Canada. The company focuses on growing its production and reducing costs at its gold and antimony operation in Australia, and its gold mine in Sweden, to generate near-term sustainable positive cash flow.
Executives
Frazer William Bourchier Senior Officer

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