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Ai Holdings (TSE:3076) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : 円2,371.31 (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Ai Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-22), Ai Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 円2,371.31. The stock price of Ai Holdings is 円2465.00. Therefore, Ai Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ai Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3076' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.68   Med: 1.11   Max: 1.56
Current: 1.04

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ai Holdings was 1.56. The lowest was 0.68. And the median was 1.11.

TSE:3076's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
57.67% of 404 companies
in the Conglomerates industry
Industry Median: 0.87 vs TSE:3076: 1.04

Ai Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ai Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ai Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Ai Holdings Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2,059.69 1,835.07 2,044.02 2,268.45 2,371.31

Ai Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 2,371.31 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Ai Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Ai Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ai Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Ai Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ai Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Ai Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ai Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = 円6,164.86.

Ai Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*6164.8571428571+67017*0.8)/47.360
=2,371.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ai Holdings  (TSE:3076) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ai Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2465.00/2371.3092808044
=1.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ai Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Ai Holdings (TSE:3076) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
12-8 Nihonbashi Hisamatsucho, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 103-0005
Ai Holdings is mainly engaged in information equipment and security equipment businesses. The company has several business segments: security equipment, card equipment, maintenance service, information equipment, measuring device and environmental testing equipment, design, leasing, and installment. The security equipment sector offers surveillance cameras and recorders, as well as services. The card equipment segment offers card-issuing system equipment. The information equipment segment's main products are cutting machines and scanners. The measurement equipment segment offers environmental test equipment that accomodates a wide range of data such as voltage, temperature, humidity, and pulse. The design segment is mainly focused on the earthquake-resistant structural design.

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